Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 77
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
830 PM CDT THU APR 22 2010
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST TEXAS AND THE TEXAS SOUTH PLAINS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 830 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALVA
OKLAHOMA TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF BIG SPRING TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 75. WATCH NUMBER 75 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 830
PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 74...WW 76...
DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS...SOME LONG-LIVED AND VERY STRONG...EXPECTED
TO PERSIST THROUGH EARLY FRI OVER PARTS OF THE TX SOUTH PLAINS AND
NW TX/FAR SW OK AS SSWLY LLJ STRENGTHENS AND FURTHER MOISTENS AHEAD
OF NM UPR IMPULSE. STRENGTH OF MEAN WIND FIELD...INCREASING LOW-LVL
MOISTURE ...AND BACKED LOW-LVL FLOW SUGGEST CONTINUED LIKELIHOOD FOR
TORNADOES WITH SOME STORMS...IN ADDITION TO VERY LARGE HAIL AND DMGG
WINDS. FARTHER N...SEMI-DISCRETE STORMS/SUPERCELLS ALSO EXPECTED TO
PERSIST IN SOMEWHAT MORE STRONGLY CAPPED BUT CONFLUENT ENVIRONMENT
IN WRN/NRN OK. THIS ACTIVITY ALSO COULD POSE A RISK FOR TORNADOES
AS STORMS EVOLVE INTO LOOSELY-ORGANIZED/EPISODIC LEWPS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 77 TORNADO OK TX 230130Z - 230900Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NE AVK/ALVA OK/ - 10S BGS/BIG SPRING TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /46NNW END - 35E MAF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
REPLACES WW 75..OK TX
LAT...LON 37009672 32069995 32060304 37009998
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 77 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 77
VALID 230840Z - 230900Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW CHK TO
25 SSE END TO 25 NE END TO 45 WNW PNC.
WW 77 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 230900Z.
..DIAL..04/23/10
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC051-071-083-103-230900-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRADY KAY LOGAN
NOBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 77
VALID 230740Z - 230840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W SPS TO
35 WNW CHK TO 20 WSW END TO 20 SSE P28.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 346
..DIAL..04/23/10
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-015-017-031-033-047-051-053-071-073-083-103-230840-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON GARFIELD
GRADY GRANT KAY
KINGFISHER LOGAN NOBLE
$$
TXC009-485-230840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 77
VALID 230630Z - 230740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW ABI
TO 30 SSW LTS TO 35 NNW CSM TO 20 SSE P28.
..DIAL..04/23/10
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-047-051-053-065-071-073-075-
083-093-103-141-149-230740-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY GARFIELD
GRADY GRANT JACKSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LOGAN MAJOR NOBLE
TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-207-253-275-447-485-487-230740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR HASKELL
JONES KNOX THROCKMORTON
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 77
VALID 230540Z - 230640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE BGS
TO 70 NW ABI TO 15 WSW CDS TO 30 SE AMA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 345
..DIAL..04/23/10
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-045-047-051-053-055-
057-059-065-071-073-075-083-093-103-129-141-149-151-153-
230640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRADY GRANT GREER
HARMON HARPER JACKSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LOGAN MAJOR NOBLE
ROGER MILLS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-075-087-101-129-151-155-191-197-207-211-253-269-275-
295-335-353-415-433-447-483-485-487-230640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE DONLEY
FISHER FOARD HALL
HARDEMAN HASKELL HEMPHILL
JONES KING KNOX
LIPSCOMB MITCHELL NOLAN
SCURRY STONEWALL THROCKMORTON
WHEELER WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 77
VALID 230430Z - 230540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW BGS
TO 45 SSE LBB TO 10 WNW LBB.
..PETERS..04/23/10
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-045-047-051-053-055-
057-059-065-071-073-075-083-093-103-129-141-149-151-153-
230540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRADY GRANT GREER
HARMON HARPER JACKSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LOGAN MAJOR NOBLE
ROGER MILLS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-033-045-075-087-101-107-125-129-151-153-155-169-189-
191-197-207-211-227-253-263-269-275-295-303-335-345-353-415-433-
447-483-485-487-230540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
BRISCOE CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH
COTTLE CROSBY DICKENS
DONLEY FISHER FLOYD
FOARD GARZA HALE
HALL HARDEMAN HASKELL
HEMPHILL HOWARD JONES
KENT KING KNOX
LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY
STONEWALL THROCKMORTON WHEELER
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 77
VALID 230335Z - 230440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW MAF TO
15 WSW LBB.
..PETERS..04/23/10
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-045-047-051-053-055-
057-059-065-071-073-075-083-093-103-129-141-149-151-153-
230440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRADY GRANT GREER
HARMON HARPER JACKSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LOGAN MAJOR NOBLE
ROGER MILLS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-033-045-075-087-101-107-115-125-129-151-153-155-169-
189-191-197-207-211-227-253-263-269-275-295-303-305-317-335-345-
353-415-433-447-483-485-487-230440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
BRISCOE CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH
COTTLE CROSBY DAWSON
DICKENS DONLEY FISHER
FLOYD FOARD GARZA
HALE HALL HARDEMAN
HASKELL HEMPHILL HOWARD
JONES KENT KING
KNOX LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MARTIN MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY
STONEWALL THROCKMORTON WHEELER
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 77
VALID 230240Z - 230340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..04/23/10
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 77
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-031-033-039-043-045-047-051-053-055-
057-059-065-071-073-075-083-093-103-129-141-149-151-153-
230340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRADY GRANT GREER
HARMON HARPER JACKSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LOGAN MAJOR NOBLE
ROGER MILLS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC003-009-023-033-045-075-087-101-107-115-125-129-151-153-155-
165-169-189-191-197-207-211-227-253-263-269-275-295-303-305-317-
335-345-353-415-433-445-447-483-485-487-230340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS ARCHER BAYLOR
BORDEN BRISCOE CHILDRESS
COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS DONLEY
FISHER FLOYD FOARD
GAINES GARZA HALE
HALL HARDEMAN HASKELL
HEMPHILL HOWARD JONES
KENT KING KNOX
LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MITCHELL MOTLEY
NOLAN SCURRY STONEWALL
TERRY THROCKMORTON WHEELER
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.