Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 232
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1200 PM CDT SAT MAY 29 2010
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
MUCH OF FLORIDA PANHANDLE
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM NOON UNTIL 700
PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF CRESTVIEW FLORIDA TO 60 MILES NORTH OF MONTGOMERY
ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...WITH A MOIST AND MDTLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN PLACE
COUPLED WITH 25-30KT OF CYCLONIC SHEAR ON E SIDE OF UPPER LOW NEAR
KJAN...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY ACROSS
THE WATCH AREA THRU THE AFTERNOON. MULTICELLULAR/PULSE MODE OF
STORMS WILL SUPPORT LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS WINDS AS
STORMS MOVE SLOWLY N AND NW TO E OF UPPER LOW CENTER.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 19010.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 232 SEVERE TSTM AL FL GA 291700Z - 300000Z
AXIS..115 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35SSE CEW/CRESTVIEW FL/ - 60N MGM/MONTGOMERY AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 100NM E/W /37SSE CEW - 40SE VUZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 19010.
LAT...LON 30298822 33138838 33138441 30298437
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 232 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 232
VALID 292330Z - 300040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E CSG TO
15 WNW CSG TO 15 NW LGC.
..STOPPKOTTE..05/29/10
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 232
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC145-199-215-263-285-300040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRIS MERIWETHER MUSCOGEE
TALBOT TROUP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 232
VALID 292235Z - 292340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E CSG TO
15 E AUO TO 15 NW LGC TO 35 SSE BHM TO 45 WSW SEM TO 35 WSW GZH
TO 20 SSW ABY.
..STOPPKOTTE..05/29/10
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 232
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-007-023-025-039-053-061-063-065-069-091-097-105-107-119-
125-129-292340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BIBB CHOCTAW
CLARKE COVINGTON ESCAMBIA
GENEVA GREENE HALE
HOUSTON MARENGO MOBILE
PERRY PICKENS SUMTER
TUSCALOOSA WASHINGTON
$$
FLC005-013-033-039-059-063-077-091-113-131-133-292340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GADSDEN HOLMES JACKSON
LIBERTY OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC087-099-145-199-201-215-253-263-285-292340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR EARLY HARRIS
MERIWETHER MILLER MUSCOGEE
SEMINOLE TALBOT TROUP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 232
VALID 292130Z - 292240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..05/29/10
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 232
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-007-011-013-017-021-023-025-031-035-037-039-041-
045-047-051-053-061-063-065-067-069-081-085-087-091-097-099-101-
105-107-109-113-119-123-125-129-131-292240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BIBB BULLOCK BUTLER
CHAMBERS CHILTON CHOCTAW
CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH
COOSA COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE DALLAS ELMORE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA GREENE
HALE HENRY HOUSTON
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PICKENS
PIKE RUSSELL SUMTER
TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-033-039-059-063-077-091-113-131-133-292240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GADSDEN HOLMES JACKSON
LIBERTY OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-037-053-061-087-095-099-145-197-199-201-215-239-243-249-
253-259-263-273-285-307-292240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY HARRIS MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MUSCOGEE
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SCHLEY
SEMINOLE STEWART TALBOT
TERRELL TROUP WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 232
VALID 292040Z - 292140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JIRAK..05/29/10
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 232
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-007-011-013-017-021-023-025-031-035-037-039-041-
045-047-051-053-061-063-065-067-069-081-085-087-091-097-099-101-
105-107-109-113-119-123-125-129-131-292140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BIBB BULLOCK BUTLER
CHAMBERS CHILTON CHOCTAW
CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH
COOSA COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE DALLAS ELMORE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA GREENE
HALE HENRY HOUSTON
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PICKENS
PIKE RUSSELL SUMTER
TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-033-039-059-063-077-091-113-131-133-292140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GADSDEN HOLMES JACKSON
LIBERTY OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-037-053-061-087-095-099-145-197-199-201-215-239-243-249-
253-259-263-273-285-307-292140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY HARRIS MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MUSCOGEE
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SCHLEY
SEMINOLE STEWART TALBOT
TERRELL TROUP WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 232
VALID 291935Z - 292040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JIRAK..05/29/10
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 232
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-007-011-013-017-021-023-025-031-035-037-039-041-
045-047-051-053-061-063-065-067-069-081-085-087-091-097-099-101-
105-107-109-113-119-123-125-129-131-292040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BIBB BULLOCK BUTLER
CHAMBERS CHILTON CHOCTAW
CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH
COOSA COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE DALLAS ELMORE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA GREENE
HALE HENRY HOUSTON
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PICKENS
PIKE RUSSELL SUMTER
TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-033-039-059-063-077-091-113-131-133-292040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GADSDEN HOLMES JACKSON
LIBERTY OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-037-053-061-087-095-099-145-197-199-201-215-239-243-249-
253-259-263-273-285-307-292040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY HARRIS MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MUSCOGEE
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SCHLEY
SEMINOLE STEWART TALBOT
TERRELL TROUP WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 232
VALID 291835Z - 291940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JIRAK..05/29/10
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 232
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-007-011-013-017-021-023-025-031-035-037-039-041-
045-047-051-053-061-063-065-067-069-081-085-087-091-097-099-101-
105-107-109-113-119-123-125-129-131-291940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BIBB BULLOCK BUTLER
CHAMBERS CHILTON CHOCTAW
CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH
COOSA COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE DALLAS ELMORE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA GREENE
HALE HENRY HOUSTON
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PICKENS
PIKE RUSSELL SUMTER
TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-033-039-059-063-077-091-113-131-133-291940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GADSDEN HOLMES JACKSON
LIBERTY OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-037-053-061-087-095-099-145-197-199-201-215-239-243-249-
253-259-263-273-285-307-291940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY HARRIS MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MUSCOGEE
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SCHLEY
SEMINOLE STEWART TALBOT
TERRELL TROUP WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 232
VALID 291735Z - 291840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JIRAK..05/29/10
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 232
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-007-011-013-017-021-023-025-031-035-037-039-041-
045-047-051-053-061-063-065-067-069-081-085-087-091-097-099-101-
105-107-109-113-119-123-125-129-131-291840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BIBB BULLOCK BUTLER
CHAMBERS CHILTON CHOCTAW
CLARKE COFFEE CONECUH
COOSA COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE DALLAS ELMORE
ESCAMBIA GENEVA GREENE
HALE HENRY HOUSTON
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MARENGO MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PICKENS
PIKE RUSSELL SUMTER
TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
FLC005-013-033-039-059-063-077-091-113-131-133-291840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN ESCAMBIA
GADSDEN HOLMES JACKSON
LIBERTY OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
WALTON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-037-053-061-087-095-099-145-197-199-201-215-239-243-249-
253-259-263-273-285-307-291840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY DECATUR DOUGHERTY
EARLY HARRIS MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MUSCOGEE
QUITMAN RANDOLPH SCHLEY
SEMINOLE STEWART TALBOT
TERRELL TROUP WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.