Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 304
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2010
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST KANSAS
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
NORTHEAST TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
BORGER TEXAS TO 70 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF DODGE CITY KANSAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 301...WW 302...WW 303...
DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE INITIATING ALONG SHARP COLD FRONT STALLED
ACROSS THE NORTHWEST TX PNHDL ATTM. VERY HOT AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROMOTE ROBUST DEVELOPMENT ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY...WHICH EXTENDS NEWD INTO SWRN KS...THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
AND INTO THE EVENING. STORM MOTIONS MAY TAKE SOME CELLS NWD ACROSS
THE BOUNDARY AND INTO MORE STABLE SURFACE-BASED AIRMASS...INHIBITING
LOW LEVEL ROTATION FROM REACHING THE SURFACE. HOWEVER...ANY CELLS
THAT TRACK ALONG OR NEAR THE WARM SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY FROM NRN TX
PNHDL NEWD TOWARD DDC AREA...WILL HAVE ACCESS TO BOTH HIGH
INSTABILITY AND A SOURCE OF STRONG LOW LEVEL VORTICITY FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOGENESIS. GIVEN MAGNITUDE OF INSTABILITY AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE QUITE LIKELY.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 19025.
...CARBIN
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 304 TORNADO KS OK TX 121945Z - 130300Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15SSE BGD/BORGER TX/ - 70NNE DDC/DODGE CITY KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /21NE AMA - 49SE HLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 19025.
LAT...LON 35500227 38700048 38709844 35500031
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 304 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 304
VALID 130140Z - 130240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/13/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 304
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-025-033-047-053-055-057-069-081-083-097-101-105-113-119-
135-145-151-159-165-167-169-175-185-189-130240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS ELLSWORTH FINNEY
FORD GRAY HASKELL
HODGEMAN KIOWA LANE
LINCOLN MCPHERSON MEADE
NESS PAWNEE PRATT
RICE RUSH RUSSELL
SALINE SEWARD STAFFORD
STEVENS
$$
OKC007-059-139-130240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER HARPER TEXAS
$$
TXC065-195-211-233-295-341-357-375-393-421-130240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARSON HANSFORD HEMPHILL
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB MOORE
OCHILTREE POTTER ROBERTS
SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 304
VALID 122335Z - 130040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 913
..SPC..06/12/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 304
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-025-033-047-053-055-057-069-081-083-097-101-105-113-119-
135-145-151-159-165-167-169-175-185-189-130040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS ELLSWORTH FINNEY
FORD GRAY HASKELL
HODGEMAN KIOWA LANE
LINCOLN MCPHERSON MEADE
NESS PAWNEE PRATT
RICE RUSH RUSSELL
SALINE SEWARD STAFFORD
STEVENS
$$
OKC007-059-139-130040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER HARPER TEXAS
$$
TXC065-195-211-233-295-341-357-375-393-421-130040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARSON HANSFORD HEMPHILL
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB MOORE
OCHILTREE POTTER ROBERTS
SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 304
VALID 122140Z - 122240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..06/12/10
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 304
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-025-033-047-055-057-069-081-083-097-101-119-135-145-151-
165-175-185-189-122240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CLARK COMANCHE
EDWARDS FINNEY FORD
GRAY HASKELL HODGEMAN
KIOWA LANE MEADE
NESS PAWNEE PRATT
RUSH SEWARD STAFFORD
STEVENS
$$
OKC007-059-139-122240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER HARPER TEXAS
$$
TXC065-195-211-233-295-341-357-375-393-421-122240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARSON HANSFORD HEMPHILL
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB MOORE
OCHILTREE POTTER ROBERTS
SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.