Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 712
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
535 AM EDT MON OCT 25 2010
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN GEORGIA
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
EAST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 535 AM UNTIL 100
PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
KNOXVILLE TENNESSEE TO 45 MILES SOUTHEAST OF COLUMBUS GEORGIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 711...
DISCUSSION...ERN AL SQLN WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS SHOULD CONTINUE
GENERALLY ENE INTO GA AND THE SRN APPALACHIANS THROUGH LATER THIS
MORNING. WHILE BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THAT REGION IS NOT AS
WARM/MOIST AS IN AL...COMBINATION OF ELEVATED TERRAIN...EXPECTED MID
LVL COOLING AHEAD OF W TN/NRN MS UPR VORT...AND STRENGTH OF LOW TO
MID LVL WIND FIELD SUGGEST CONTINUED RISK FOR SUSTAINED
STORMS/SUPERCELLS POSING A RISK FOR LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND ISOLD
TORNADOES. A THREAT FOR ISOLD SVR WEATHER ALSO WILL EXIST WITH ANY
SUSTAINED STORMS THAT MIGHT EVOLVE ALONG AXIS OF CONFLUENCE E OF
SQLN IN ERN AL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 712 TORNADO GA NC SC TN 250935Z - 251700Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25ENE TYS/KNOXVILLE TN/ - 45SE CSG/COLUMBUS GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /15ENE VXV - 25N ABY/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 35958251 32048336 32048541 35958466
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 712 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 712
VALID 251500Z - 251640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE AUO TO
10 SW ATL TO 20 WNW AHN TO 15 SSW AND.
..GUYER..10/25/10
ATTN...WFO...FFC...GSP...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 712
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-021-023-035-053-059-079-081-091-093-105-107-125-133-141-
151-153-159-163-167-169-171-175-193-195-197-207-209-211-215-217-
219-221-225-231-235-237-247-249-255-259-261-263-265-269-271-279-
283-289-293-297-301-303-307-309-315-317-319-251640-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BIBB BLECKLEY
BUTTS CHATTAHOOCHEE CLARKE
CRAWFORD CRISP DODGE
DOOLY ELBERT EMANUEL
GLASCOCK GREENE HANCOCK
HENRY HOUSTON JASPER
JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES
LAMAR LAURENS MACON
MADISON MARION MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PEACH PIKE PULASKI
PUTNAM ROCKDALE SCHLEY
SPALDING STEWART SUMTER
TALBOT TALIAFERRO TAYLOR
TELFAIR TOOMBS TREUTLEN
TWIGGS UPSON WALTON
WARREN WASHINGTON WEBSTER
WHEELER WILCOX WILKES
WILKINSON
$$
SCC001-251640-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ABBEVILLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.