Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 368
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
950 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
INDIANA
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
LAKE MICHIGAN
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 950 AM UNTIL
700 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF SOUTH
BEND INDIANA TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF BLOOMINGTON INDIANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 367...
DISCUSSION...BAND OF STRONG-SEVERE STORMS OVER ERN IL WILL PROGRESS
EWD/NEWD INTO IND THIS MORNING IN ADVANCE OF STRONG MIDLEVEL IMPULSE
LIFTING NNEWD THROUGH THE MID MS VALLEY. 12Z SOUNDING DATA AND
CURRENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST THAT AIR MASS SHOULD RAPIDLY
DESTABILIZE WITH MLCAPE INCREASING TO 1000-2000 J/KG. WHEN COUPLED
WITH STRENGTHENING VERTICAL SHEAR THROUGH THE DAY...ENVIRONMENT WILL
SUPPORT SUPERCELL AND BOWING STRUCTURES WITH A RISK FOR
TORNADOES...SOME POTENTIALLY STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 368 TORNADO IN MI LM 251350Z - 252300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NE SBN/SOUTH BEND IN/ - 30S BMG/BLOOMINGTON IN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /23NE GIJ - 55SSE TTH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 42008454 38708531 38708791 42008726
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 368 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 368
VALID 252125Z - 252240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SW DNV TO
25 NE LAF TO 35 NE FWA.
..COHEN..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 368
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-045-053-
055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-
103-105-107-109-119-121-133-135-139-145-153-157-159-165-167-169-
171-179-183-252240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DECATUR
DELAWARE FOUNTAIN GRANT
GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
HUNTINGTON JACKSON JAY
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MARTIN MIAMI MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWEN
PARKE PUTNAM RANDOLPH
RUSH SHELBY SULLIVAN
TIPPECANOE TIPTON VERMILLION
VIGO WABASH WARREN
WELLS WHITLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 368
VALID 252040Z - 252140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM DNV TO 30 NE
LAF TO 25 NE FWA.
..CORFIDI..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 368
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-045-053-
055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-
103-105-107-109-119-121-133-135-139-145-153-157-159-165-167-169-
171-179-252140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DECATUR
DELAWARE FOUNTAIN GRANT
GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
HUNTINGTON JACKSON JAY
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MARTIN MIAMI MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWEN
PARKE PUTNAM RANDOLPH
RUSH SHELBY SULLIVAN
TIPPECANOE TIPTON VERMILLION
VIGO WABASH WARREN
WELLS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 368
VALID 251940Z - 252040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM DNV TO 30 NE
LAF TO 35 SE SBN TO 10 SSE AZO.
..HART..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 368
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-031-033-035-045-
053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-085-087-093-
095-097-101-103-105-107-109-113-119-121-133-135-139-145-151-153-
157-159-165-167-169-171-179-183-252040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DECATUR
DE KALB DELAWARE FOUNTAIN
GRANT GREENE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HENDRICKS HENRY
HOWARD HUNTINGTON JACKSON
JAY JENNINGS JOHNSON
KNOX KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MARTIN MIAMI MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN NOBLE
OWEN PARKE PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RUSH SHELBY
STEUBEN SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE
TIPTON VERMILLION VIGO
WABASH WARREN WELLS
WHITLEY
$$
MIC023-149-252040-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANCH ST. JOSEPH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 368
VALID 251835Z - 251940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM DNV TO 10 N
LAF TO 10 SW BEH.
..HART..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 368
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-031-033-035-039-
045-049-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-085-
087-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-113-119-121-131-133-
135-139-141-145-149-151-153-157-159-165-167-169-171-179-181-183-
251940-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DECATUR
DE KALB DELAWARE ELKHART
FOUNTAIN FULTON GRANT
GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
HUNTINGTON JACKSON JAY
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LA PORTE
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MARTIN MIAMI
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NOBLE OWEN PARKE
PULASKI PUTNAM RANDOLPH
RUSH ST. JOSEPH SHELBY
STARKE STEUBEN SULLIVAN
TIPPECANOE TIPTON VERMILLION
VIGO WABASH WARREN
WELLS WHITE WHITLEY
$$
MIC021-023-027-149-251940-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN BRANCH CASS
ST. JOSEPH
$$
LMZ043-251940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 368
VALID 251745Z - 251840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HART..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 368
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-031-033-035-039-
045-049-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-085-
087-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-113-119-121-131-133-
135-139-141-145-149-151-153-157-159-165-167-169-171-179-181-183-
251840-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DECATUR
DE KALB DELAWARE ELKHART
FOUNTAIN FULTON GRANT
GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
HUNTINGTON JACKSON JAY
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LA PORTE
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MARTIN MIAMI
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NOBLE OWEN PARKE
PULASKI PUTNAM RANDOLPH
RUSH ST. JOSEPH SHELBY
STARKE STEUBEN SULLIVAN
TIPPECANOE TIPTON VERMILLION
VIGO WABASH WARREN
WELLS WHITE WHITLEY
$$
MIC021-023-027-149-251840-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN BRANCH CASS
ST. JOSEPH
$$
LMZ043-046-251840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 368
VALID 251640Z - 251740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 368
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-031-033-035-039-
045-049-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-085-
087-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-113-119-121-131-133-
135-139-141-145-149-151-153-157-159-165-167-169-171-179-181-183-
251740-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DECATUR
DE KALB DELAWARE ELKHART
FOUNTAIN FULTON GRANT
GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
HUNTINGTON JACKSON JAY
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LA PORTE
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MARTIN MIAMI
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NOBLE OWEN PARKE
PULASKI PUTNAM RANDOLPH
RUSH ST. JOSEPH SHELBY
STARKE STEUBEN SULLIVAN
TIPPECANOE TIPTON VERMILLION
VIGO WABASH WARREN
WELLS WHITE WHITLEY
$$
MIC021-023-027-149-251740-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN BRANCH CASS
ST. JOSEPH
$$
LMZ043-046-251740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 368
VALID 251525Z - 251640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/25/11
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 368
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-031-033-035-039-
045-049-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-085-
087-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-113-119-121-131-133-
135-139-141-145-149-151-153-157-159-165-167-169-171-179-181-183-
251640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DECATUR
DE KALB DELAWARE ELKHART
FOUNTAIN FULTON GRANT
GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
HUNTINGTON JACKSON JAY
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LA PORTE
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MARTIN MIAMI
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NOBLE OWEN PARKE
PULASKI PUTNAM RANDOLPH
RUSH ST. JOSEPH SHELBY
STARKE STEUBEN SULLIVAN
TIPPECANOE TIPTON VERMILLION
VIGO WABASH WARREN
WELLS WHITE WHITLEY
$$
MIC021-023-027-149-251640-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN BRANCH CASS
ST. JOSEPH
$$
LMZ043-046-251640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.