Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 899
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1000 AM CST THU DEC 22 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
ALABAMA
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
FAR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1000 AM UNTIL
500 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES EAST OF GULFPORT
MISSISSIPPI TO 10 MILES NORTH OF GADSDEN ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 898...
DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE BAND ALONG COLD FRONT FROM NEAR JAN TO W OF
NEW ORLEANS IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TODAY WHILE MOVING EWD WITH
ADDITIONAL DOWNSTREAM STORM DEVELOPMENT ANTICIPATED WITHIN THE OPEN
WARM SECTOR. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS
ACROSS PARTS OF SRN AL...WHICH WHEN COUPLED WITH BOUNDARY LAYER
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S WILL YIELD AFTERNOON MLCAPE VALUES OF
AROUND 1000 J/KG. THIS INSTABILITY WILL COINCIDE WITH A KINEMATIC
ENVIRONMENT FEATURING 0-1 KM SRH OF 150-300 M2/S2 AND EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR OF 40-50+ KT. AS SUCH...GIVEN SETUP WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELL
AND BOW ECHO STORM MODES WITH ATTENDANT RISKS FOR A FEW TORNADOES
AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 899 TORNADO AL FL LA MS CW 221600Z - 222300Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25E GPT/GULFPORT MS/ - 10N GAD/GADSDEN AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /25SW SJI - 49ENE VUZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
LAT...LON 30389023 34098773 34098441 30388705
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 899 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 899
VALID 222135Z - 222240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW PNS
TO 15 NE GZH TO 30 WNW AUO TO 25 SW RMG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2392
..SMITH..12/22/11
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...HUN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 899
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-013-017-019-027-029-031-035-039-041-045-051-053-061-
067-069-081-087-101-109-111-113-123-222240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER
CHAMBERS CHEROKEE CLAY
CLEBURNE COFFEE CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
ELMORE ESCAMBIA GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON LEE
MACON MONTGOMERY PIKE
RANDOLPH RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA
$$
FLC005-033-059-091-113-131-133-222240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY ESCAMBIA HOLMES
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
LAC087-222240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ST. BERNARD
$$
GMZ650-655-750-222240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 899
VALID 222050Z - 222140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W PNS TO
15 NNW GZH TO 45 SE BHM TO 10 N GAD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE FORTHCOMING MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
2392. COUNTIES CAN BE CLEARED FROM WEST TO EAST BEHIND THE MAIN
SQUALL LINE.
..SMITH..12/22/11
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...HUN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 899
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-035-037-039-041-
045-049-051-053-055-061-067-069-081-085-087-099-101-109-111-113-
121-123-222140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BULLOCK BUTLER CALHOUN
CHAMBERS CHEROKEE CLAY
CLEBURNE COFFEE CONECUH
COOSA COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE DEKALB ELMORE
ESCAMBIA ETOWAH GENEVA
HENRY HOUSTON LEE
LOWNDES MACON MONROE
MONTGOMERY PIKE RANDOLPH
RUSSELL TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA
$$
FLC005-033-059-091-113-131-133-222140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY ESCAMBIA HOLMES
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
GMZ650-655-750-222140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 899
VALID 221845Z - 221940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 E GPT TO
30 WNW GAD.
..SPC..12/22/11
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...HUN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 899
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-
031-035-037-039-041-043-045-047-049-051-053-055-061-065-067-069-
073-081-085-087-091-095-097-099-101-105-109-111-113-115-117-121-
123-125-129-131-221940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BALDWIN BARBOUR
BIBB BLOUNT BULLOCK
BUTLER CALHOUN CHAMBERS
CHEROKEE CHILTON CHOCTAW
CLARKE CLAY CLEBURNE
COFFEE CONECUH COOSA
COVINGTON CRENSHAW CULLMAN
DALE DALLAS DEKALB
ELMORE ESCAMBIA ETOWAH
GENEVA HALE HENRY
HOUSTON JEFFERSON LEE
LOWNDES MACON MARENGO
MARSHALL MOBILE MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
RANDOLPH RUSSELL ST. CLAIR
SHELBY TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA
TUSCALOOSA WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC005-033-059-091-113-131-133-221940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY ESCAMBIA HOLMES
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA WALTON
WASHINGTON
$$
LAC075-087-221940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD
$$
MSC039-041-059-221940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE JACKSON
$$
GMZ532-536-552-555-557-630-650-655-750-221940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
CHANDELEUR SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
MOBILE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.