Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 205
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1045 PM CDT SUN JUN 1 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 1045 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF OLATHE KANSAS TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF OLATHE
KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 204...
DISCUSSION...BOW ECHO NOW OVER EASTERN KS WILL TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS
WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
DIMINISH...BUT LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS GUSTS WILL REMAIN A CONCERN
THROUGH 06Z.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27040.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 205 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 020345Z - 020600Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35ENE OJC/OLATHE KS/ - 60SSE OJC/OLATHE KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /32ESE MCI - 16SSE BUM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27040.
LAT...LON 39049329 38049348 38049513 39049497
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 205 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 205
VALID 020545Z - 020600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE CNU
TO 35 SE OJC TO 30 E MKC.
WW 205 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 020600Z.
..GUYER..06/02/14
ATTN...WFO...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 205
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC013-083-101-020600-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATES HENRY JOHNSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.