Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 185
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1025 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 1025 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST KS WILL TRACK NORTHEASTWARD
INTO WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. VERY STRONG WINDS ALOFT
SUGGEST THE RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES EAST
NORTHEAST OF KANSAS CITY MISSOURI TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
OLATHE KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 177...WW 179...WW
180...WW 181...WW 182...WW 183...WW 184...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 185 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 170325Z - 171000Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45ENE MKC/KANSAS CITY MO/ - 60SSE OJC/OLATHE KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /43E MCI - 16SSE BUM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 39349298 38049348 38049513 39349466
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 185 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 185
VALID 170735Z - 170840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW SZL
TO 30 SE CDJ.
..BROYLES..05/17/15
ATTN...WFO...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 185
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC001-041-053-089-115-121-159-175-195-211-170840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHARITON COOPER
HOWARD LINN MACON
PETTIS RANDOLPH SALINE
SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 185
VALID 170540Z - 170640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/17/15
ATTN...WFO...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 185
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC107-121-170640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LINN MIAMI
$$
MOC013-033-037-041-083-101-107-159-177-195-170640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATES CARROLL CASS
CHARITON HENRY JOHNSON
LAFAYETTE PETTIS RAY
SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 185
VALID 170450Z - 170540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..05/17/15
ATTN...WFO...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 185
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC107-121-170540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LINN MIAMI
$$
MOC013-033-037-041-083-101-107-159-177-195-170540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATES CARROLL CASS
CHARITON HENRY JOHNSON
LAFAYETTE PETTIS RAY
SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
