Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 231
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN OKLAHOMA INCLUDING A PART OF THE PANHANDLE
EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM
UNTIL 1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP OVER THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING WITH A RISK FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND A
FEW TORNADOES.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
GUYMON OKLAHOMA TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLINTON OKLAHOMA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 227...WW 228...WW
229...WW 230...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 231 TORNADO OK TX 271945Z - 280300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55ENE GUY/GUYMON OK/ - 50SW CSM/CLINTON OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /19E LBL - 35NE CDS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
LAT...LON 36979948 34819876 34810087 36970166
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 231 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 231
VALID 280135Z - 280240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N BGD TO
30 NNE BGD TO 5 NE LBL.
..JEWELL..05/28/15
ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 231
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC007-009-039-043-045-055-057-059-129-139-149-153-280240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BECKHAM CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GREER
HARMON HARPER ROGER MILLS
TEXAS WASHITA WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-129-179-195-211-295-357-393-483-280240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH DONLEY GRAY
HANSFORD HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
OCHILTREE ROBERTS WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 231
VALID 272350Z - 280040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 816
..JEWELL..05/27/15
ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 231
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC007-009-039-043-045-055-057-059-129-139-149-153-280040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BECKHAM CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GREER
HARMON HARPER ROGER MILLS
TEXAS WASHITA WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-129-179-195-211-295-357-393-483-280040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH DONLEY GRAY
HANSFORD HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
OCHILTREE ROBERTS WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 231
VALID 272135Z - 272240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/27/15
ATTN...WFO...AMA...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 231
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC007-009-039-043-045-055-057-059-129-139-149-153-272240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER BECKHAM CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GREER
HARMON HARPER ROGER MILLS
TEXAS WASHITA WOODWARD
$$
TXC087-129-179-195-211-295-357-393-483-272240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH DONLEY GRAY
HANSFORD HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
OCHILTREE ROBERTS WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.