Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 505
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT MON SEP 7 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 340 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...ISOLATED INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER
SOUTHEAST NEB AND NORTH-CENTRAL KS. THESE STORMS WILL TRACK
EASTWARD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...POSING A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES WEST OF
CONCORDIA KANSAS TO 5 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF FALLS CITY
NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 505 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 072040Z - 080200Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
80W CNK/CONCORDIA KS/ - 5ESE FNB/FALLS CITY NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /53ENE HLC - 33ESE PWE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 40119915 40619551 39459551 38959915
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 505 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 505
VALID 080035Z - 080140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW SLN
TO 35 SE HSI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1774
..GUYER..09/08/15
ATTN...WFO...TOP...GID...OAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 505
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-027-029-031-041-061-111-117-127-139-143-149-157-161-197-
201-080140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON CLAY CLOUD
COFFEY DICKINSON GEARY
LYON MARSHALL MORRIS
OSAGE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
REPUBLIC RILEY WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON
$$
NEC067-095-097-133-147-080140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GAGE JEFFERSON JOHNSON
PAWNEE RICHARDSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 505
VALID 072250Z - 072340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..09/07/15
ATTN...WFO...TOP...GID...OAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 505
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC013-027-029-041-061-085-089-117-123-127-131-141-143-149-157-
161-183-197-201-072340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLAY CLOUD
DICKINSON GEARY JACKSON
JEWELL MARSHALL MITCHELL
MORRIS NEMAHA OSBORNE
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE REPUBLIC
RILEY SMITH WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON
$$
NEC061-067-095-097-129-133-147-169-181-072340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GAGE JEFFERSON
JOHNSON NUCKOLLS PAWNEE
RICHARDSON THAYER WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.