Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 51
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Illinois
Southern Indiana
Western and Central Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northeast Mississippi
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify this afternoon
from southern Illinois southward into west Tennessee and track
across the watch area. Rapidly strengthening winds aloft will
increase the risk of damaging winds, large hail, and a few
tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles north of Evansville IN to 90
miles south southwest of Nashville TN. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 50...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Hart
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 51
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Illinois
Southern Indiana
Western and Central Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northeast Mississippi
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify this afternoon
from southern Illinois southward into west Tennessee and track
across the watch area. Rapidly strengthening winds aloft will
increase the risk of damaging winds, large hail, and a few
tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles north of Evansville IN to 90
miles south southwest of Nashville TN. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 50...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 51 TORNADO IL IN KY MO MS TN 252045Z - 260400Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55N EVV/EVANSVILLE IN/ - 90SSW BNA/NASHVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /42SSW TTH - 16NE MSL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 38828614 34918596 34918861 38828892
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 51 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 51
VALID 260235Z - 260340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N HSV TO
30 E BNA TO 10 N BWG TO 35 SW SDF TO 35 W SDF TO 20 ESE BMG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 267
..DEAN..03/26/21
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...IND...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 51
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-043-061-071-143-175-260340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK FLOYD HARRISON
JACKSON SCOTT WASHINGTON
$$
KYC003-009-029-061-085-093-099-111-123-163-169-171-185-227-
260340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BULLITT
EDMONSON GRAYSON HARDIN
HART JEFFERSON LARUE
MEADE METCALFE MONROE
OLDHAM WARREN
$$
TNC003-015-027-031-041-061-087-111-117-141-149-159-165-169-175-
177-185-189-260340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CLAY
COFFEE DE KALB GRUNDY
JACKSON MACON MARSHALL
PUTNAM RUTHERFORD SMITH
SUMNER TROUSDALE VAN BUREN
WARREN WHITE WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 51
VALID 260125Z - 260240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W MSL TO
60 N MSL TO 10 N HOP TO 10 NW OWB TO 25 WSW BMG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 265
..DEAN..03/26/21
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...IND...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 51
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-025-027-037-043-061-071-093-101-117-123-125-143-147-173-
175-260240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DAVIESS
DUBOIS FLOYD HARRISON
JACKSON LAWRENCE MARTIN
ORANGE PERRY PIKE
SCOTT SPENCER WARRICK
WASHINGTON
$$
KYC003-009-027-029-031-047-059-061-085-091-093-099-111-123-141-
149-163-169-171-177-183-185-213-219-227-260240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CHRISTIAN
DAVIESS EDMONSON GRAYSON
HANCOCK HARDIN HART
JEFFERSON LARUE LOGAN
MCLEAN MEADE METCALFE
MONROE MUHLENBERG OHIO
OLDHAM SIMPSON TODD
WARREN
$$
TNC003-015-021-027-031-037-041-043-061-081-087-101-111-117-119-
125-141-147-149-159-165-169-175-177-185-187-189-260240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
CLAY COFFEE DAVIDSON
DE KALB DICKSON GRUNDY
HICKMAN JACKSON LEWIS
MACON MARSHALL MAURY
MONTGOMERY PUTNAM ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SMITH SUMNER
TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WARREN
WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 51
VALID 252335Z - 260040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE MKL
TO 35 SE PAH TO 10 NE SLO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 263
..SMITH..03/25/21
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...IND...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 51
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC047-059-065-069-165-185-191-193-260040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDWARDS GALLATIN HAMILTON
HARDIN SALINE WABASH
WAYNE WHITE
$$
INC019-025-027-037-043-051-061-071-083-093-101-117-123-125-129-
143-147-163-173-175-260040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DAVIESS
DUBOIS FLOYD GIBSON
HARRISON JACKSON KNOX
LAWRENCE MARTIN ORANGE
PERRY PIKE POSEY
SCOTT SPENCER VANDERBURGH
WARRICK WASHINGTON
$$
KYC003-009-027-029-031-033-035-047-055-059-061-085-091-093-099-
101-107-111-123-139-141-143-149-157-163-169-171-177-183-185-213-
219-221-225-227-233-260040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BRECKINRIDGE
BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL
CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS EDMONSON GRAYSON
HANCOCK HARDIN HART
HENDERSON HOPKINS JEFFERSON
LARUE LIVINGSTON LOGAN
LYON MCLEAN MARSHALL
MEADE METCALFE MONROE
MUHLENBERG OHIO OLDHAM
SIMPSON TODD TRIGG
UNION WARREN WEBSTER
$$
MSC003-260040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN
$$
TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-037-039-041-043-061-071-077-
079-081-083-085-087-101-109-111-117-119-125-135-141-147-149-159-
161-165-169-175-177-185-187-189-260040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BENTON CANNON
CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER
CLAY COFFEE DAVIDSON
DECATUR DE KALB DICKSON
GRUNDY HARDIN HENDERSON
HENRY HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS JACKSON LEWIS
MCNAIRY MACON MARSHALL
MAURY MONTGOMERY PERRY
PUTNAM ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD
SMITH STEWART SUMNER
TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WARREN
WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 51
VALID 252215Z - 252300Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..03/25/21
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...IND...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 51
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-252300-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC PERRY POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC019-025-027-037-043-051-061-071-083-093-101-117-123-125-129-
143-147-163-173-175-252300-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DAVIESS
DUBOIS FLOYD GIBSON
HARRISON JACKSON KNOX
LAWRENCE MARTIN ORANGE
PERRY PIKE POSEY
SCOTT SPENCER VANDERBURGH
WARRICK WASHINGTON
$$
KYC003-007-009-027-029-031-033-035-039-047-055-059-061-075-083-
085-091-093-099-101-105-107-111-123-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-
169-171-177-183-185-213-219-221-225-227-233-252300-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BALLARD BARREN
BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT BUTLER
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES
GRAYSON HANCOCK HARDIN
HART HENDERSON HICKMAN
HOPKINS JEFFERSON LARUE
LIVINGSTON LOGAN LYON
MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL
MEADE METCALFE MONROE
MUHLENBERG OHIO OLDHAM
SIMPSON TODD TRIGG
UNION WARREN WEBSTER
$$
MSC003-252300-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN
$$
MOC133-252300-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI
$$
TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-037-039-041-043-053-061-071-
077-079-081-083-085-087-101-109-111-113-117-119-125-135-141-147-
149-159-161-165-169-175-177-183-185-187-189-252300-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BENTON CANNON
CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER
CLAY COFFEE DAVIDSON
DECATUR DE KALB DICKSON
GIBSON GRUNDY HARDIN
HENDERSON HENRY HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS JACKSON
LEWIS MCNAIRY MACON
MADISON MARSHALL MAURY
MONTGOMERY PERRY PUTNAM
ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD SMITH
STEWART SUMNER TROUSDALE
VAN BUREN WARREN WEAKLEY
WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.