Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 128
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1150 AM CDT Mon May 3 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Alabama
Eastern Mississippi
* Effective this Monday morning and evening from 1150 AM until
800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are expected to be focused in two
corridors of confluence across east-central to central Alabama and
farther south in southern Alabama. Damaging winds and large hail are
the primary threats.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles northwest of
Birmingham AL to 40 miles south southeast of Evergreen AL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 127...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27025.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 128 SEVERE TSTM AL MS 031650Z - 040100Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NW BHM/BIRMINGHAM AL/ - 40SSE GZH/EVERGREEN AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM E/W /34NW VUZ - 6WNW CEW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
LAT...LON 34078553 30878501 30878855 34078920
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 128 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 128
VALID 032355Z - 040040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW CSG
TO 25 NW SEM TO 30 NW SEM TO 30 ESE TCL TO 15 NNW LGC.
..SQUITIERI..05/03/21
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 128
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-017-021-037-051-081-087-101-113-123-040040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB CHAMBERS
CHILTON COOSA ELMORE
LEE MACON MONTGOMERY
RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 128
VALID 032315Z - 040040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..05/03/21
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 128
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-017-021-027-037-051-081-087-101-111-113-123-040040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB CHAMBERS
CHILTON CLAY COOSA
ELMORE LEE MACON
MONTGOMERY RANDOLPH RUSSELL
TALLAPOOSA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 128
VALID 032235Z - 032340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW MOB TO
50 E MEI TO 30 NW GAD.
..SQUITIERI..05/03/21
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 128
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-031-035-
037-039-041-045-047-051-053-055-061-065-067-069-073-081-085-087-
091-099-101-105-109-111-113-115-117-121-123-129-131-032340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BARBOUR BIBB
BLOUNT BULLOCK BUTLER
CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE
CHILTON CLARKE CLAY
CLEBURNE COFFEE CONECUH
COOSA COVINGTON CRENSHAW
DALE DALLAS ELMORE
ESCAMBIA ETOWAH GENEVA
HALE HENRY HOUSTON
JEFFERSON LEE LOWNDES
MACON MARENGO MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
RANDOLPH RUSSELL ST. CLAIR
SHELBY TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA
WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
MSC153-032340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 128
VALID 032045Z - 032140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..05/03/21
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 128
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-
035-037-039-041-045-047-051-053-055-057-061-063-065-067-069-073-
075-081-085-087-091-099-101-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-
123-125-127-129-131-032140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BARBOUR BIBB
BLOUNT BULLOCK BUTLER
CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE
CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE
CLAY CLEBURNE COFFEE
CONECUH COOSA COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE DALLAS
ELMORE ESCAMBIA ETOWAH
FAYETTE GENEVA GREENE
HALE HENRY HOUSTON
JEFFERSON LAMAR LEE
LOWNDES MACON MARENGO
MONROE MONTGOMERY PERRY
PICKENS PIKE RANDOLPH
RUSSELL ST. CLAIR SHELBY
SUMTER TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA
TUSCALOOSA WALKER WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
MSC007-019-023-025-061-069-075-079-087-097-099-101-103-105-123-
129-153-155-159-032140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA CHOCTAW CLARKE
CLAY JASPER KEMPER
LAUDERDALE LEAKE LOWNDES
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA SCOTT
SMITH WAYNE WEBSTER
WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 128
VALID 031850Z - 031940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..05/03/21
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 128
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-
035-037-039-041-045-047-051-053-055-057-061-063-065-067-069-073-
075-081-085-087-091-099-101-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-
123-125-127-129-131-031940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BARBOUR BIBB
BLOUNT BULLOCK BUTLER
CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE
CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE
CLAY CLEBURNE COFFEE
CONECUH COOSA COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE DALLAS
ELMORE ESCAMBIA ETOWAH
FAYETTE GENEVA GREENE
HALE HENRY HOUSTON
JEFFERSON LAMAR LEE
LOWNDES MACON MARENGO
MONROE MONTGOMERY PERRY
PICKENS PIKE RANDOLPH
RUSSELL ST. CLAIR SHELBY
SUMTER TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA
TUSCALOOSA WALKER WASHINGTON
WILCOX
$$
MSC007-019-023-025-061-069-075-079-087-097-099-101-103-105-123-
129-153-155-159-031940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA CHOCTAW CLARKE
CLAY JASPER KEMPER
LAUDERDALE LEAKE LOWNDES
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA SCOTT
SMITH WAYNE WEBSTER
WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.