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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 545
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
900 AM EDT Thu Oct 28 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Florida
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 900 AM until
500 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms including the potential for wind
damage and a few tornadoes will increase through late
morning/afternoon especially across the northern/western Florida
Peninsula as the air mass destabilizes and deep-layer/low-level
winds strengthen.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles north northwest of Gainesville
FL to 15 miles west southwest of Fort Myers FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 545 TORNADO FL CW 281300Z - 282100Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55NNW GNV/GAINESVILLE FL/ - 15WSW FMY/FORT MYERS FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /54NNE CTY - 17W RSW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
LAT...LON 30418153 26498104 26498315 30418371
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 545 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 545
VALID 282035Z - 282140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 W FMY TO
15 WSW DAB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1924
..DIAL..10/28/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...MLB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 545
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-015-027-049-055-061-071-081-093-095-097-105-115-117-127-
282140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD CHARLOTTE DESOTO
HARDEE HIGHLANDS INDIAN RIVER
LEE MANATEE OKEECHOBEE
ORANGE OSCEOLA POLK
SARASOTA SEMINOLE VOLUSIA
$$
GMZ836-856-282140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 545
VALID 281945Z - 282040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSW SRQ
TO 15 WNW DAB.
..DIAL..10/28/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...MLB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 545
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC015-027-049-055-071-081-095-097-105-115-117-127-282040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHARLOTTE DESOTO HARDEE
HIGHLANDS LEE MANATEE
ORANGE OSCEOLA POLK
SARASOTA SEMINOLE VOLUSIA
$$
GMZ836-856-282040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 545
VALID 281840Z - 281940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W SRQ TO
30 NW DAB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1923
..DIAL..10/28/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...MLB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 545
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC015-027-049-055-057-069-071-081-095-097-101-103-105-115-117-
127-281940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHARLOTTE DESOTO HARDEE
HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH LAKE
LEE MANATEE ORANGE
OSCEOLA PASCO PINELLAS
POLK SARASOTA SEMINOLE
VOLUSIA
$$
GMZ830-836-853-856-281940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
TAMPA BAY WATERS
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 545
VALID 281715Z - 281840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW PIE
TO 20 WSW JAX.
..DIAL..10/28/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...MLB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 545
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-007-015-017-019-027-031-035-049-053-055-057-069-071-081-
083-089-095-101-103-105-107-109-115-117-119-125-127-281840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BRADFORD CHARLOTTE
CITRUS CLAY DESOTO
DUVAL FLAGLER HARDEE
HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH
LAKE LEE MANATEE
MARION NASSAU ORANGE
PASCO PINELLAS POLK
PUTNAM ST. JOHNS SARASOTA
SEMINOLE SUMTER UNION
VOLUSIA
$$
GMZ830-836-853-856-281840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
TAMPA BAY WATERS
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 545
VALID 281555Z - 281640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW PIE
TO 25 WSW JAX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1922
..DIAL..10/28/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...MLB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 545
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-007-015-017-019-027-031-035-049-053-055-057-069-071-081-
083-089-101-103-105-107-109-115-119-125-127-281640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BRADFORD CHARLOTTE
CITRUS CLAY DESOTO
DUVAL FLAGLER HARDEE
HERNANDO HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH
LAKE LEE MANATEE
MARION NASSAU PASCO
PINELLAS POLK PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SARASOTA SUMTER
UNION VOLUSIA
$$
GMZ830-836-850-853-856-281640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
TAMPA BAY WATERS
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 545
VALID 281425Z - 281540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..10/28/21
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...TAE...MLB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 545
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-003-007-015-017-019-023-027-029-031-035-041-047-049-053-
055-057-067-069-071-075-081-083-089-101-103-105-107-109-115-119-
121-123-125-127-281540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CHARLOTTE CITRUS CLAY
COLUMBIA DESOTO DIXIE
DUVAL FLAGLER GILCHRIST
HAMILTON HARDEE HERNANDO
HIGHLANDS HILLSBOROUGH LAFAYETTE
LAKE LEE LEVY
MANATEE MARION NASSAU
PASCO PINELLAS POLK
PUTNAM ST. JOHNS SARASOTA
SUMTER SUWANNEE TAYLOR
UNION VOLUSIA
$$
GMZ730-765-830-836-850-853-856-281540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.