Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 258
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CDT Sat May 21 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Arkansas
Southeast Oklahoma
Central and Northeast Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are beginning to form along a cold front
that stretches from southeast Oklahoma into central Texas. The
strongest storms in this zone will pose a risk of large hail and
damaging wind gusts through the evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles south southeast
of Junction TX to 35 miles northeast of De Queen AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 254...WW 255...WW
256...WW 257...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24025.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 258 SEVERE TSTM AR OK TX 212030Z - 220400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40SSE JCT/JUNCTION TX/ - 35NE DEQ/DE QUEEN AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /40SSE JCT - 54N TXK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 29980052 34409502 34409291 29989851
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 258 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 258
VALID 220235Z - 220340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S DRT TO
45 E JCT TO 45 W TPL TO 15 SSE TPL TO 25 W CRS TO 20 SSE DAL TO
45 E DAL TO 20 WSW DEQ TO 40 WNW HOT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 866
..MOORE..05/22/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 258
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-057-061-073-081-091-099-133-220340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD HOWARD
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER MILLER
NEVADA SEVIER
$$
LAC015-017-220340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO
$$
TXC001-005-019-029-031-037-053-063-067-073-091-145-159-161-171-
183-203-209-213-223-257-259-265-289-293-299-315-325-343-347-349-
365-379-385-387-395-401-403-405-419-423-449-453-459-463-467-491-
499-220340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BANDERA
BEXAR BLANCO BOWIE
BURNET CAMP CASS
CHEROKEE COMAL FALLS
FRANKLIN FREESTONE GILLESPIE
GREGG HARRISON HAYS
HENDERSON HOPKINS KAUFMAN
KENDALL KERR LEON
LIMESTONE LLANO MARION
MEDINA MORRIS NACOGDOCHES
NAVARRO PANOLA RAINS
REAL RED RIVER ROBERTSON
RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SHELBY SMITH TITUS
TRAVIS UPSHUR UVALDE
VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 258
VALID 220150Z - 220240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW DRT TO
30 SW JCT TO 40 E JCT TO 55 SSE BWD TO 20 NNE ACT TO 35 SSW RKR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 866
..MOORE..05/22/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 258
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC057-061-081-091-099-133-220240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HEMPSTEAD HOWARD LITTLE RIVER
MILLER NEVADA SEVIER
$$
OKC089-220240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC001-019-027-029-031-037-053-063-067-091-099-137-145-159-161-
171-209-213-223-257-259-265-281-289-293-299-309-325-331-343-349-
379-385-387-395-423-449-453-459-463-467-491-499-220240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BANDERA BELL
BEXAR BLANCO BOWIE
BURNET CAMP CASS
COMAL CORYELL EDWARDS
FALLS FRANKLIN FREESTONE
GILLESPIE HAYS HENDERSON
HOPKINS KAUFMAN KENDALL
KERR LAMPASAS LEON
LIMESTONE LLANO MCLENNAN
MEDINA MILAM MORRIS
NAVARRO RAINS REAL
RED RIVER ROBERTSON SMITH
TITUS TRAVIS UPSHUR
UVALDE VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 258
VALID 220030Z - 220140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 ENE 6R6
TO 10 SE JCT TO 50 SE BWD TO 40 SSE FTW TO 30 ESE DAL TO 10 SSW
PRX TO 35 SSW RKR.
..BUNTING..05/22/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 258
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC057-061-081-091-099-133-220140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HEMPSTEAD HOWARD LITTLE RIVER
MILLER NEVADA SEVIER
$$
OKC089-220140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC001-019-027-031-037-053-063-067-099-137-145-159-161-171-209-
213-217-223-257-259-265-281-289-293-299-309-331-343-349-379-385-
387-395-423-449-453-459-465-467-491-499-220140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BANDERA BELL
BLANCO BOWIE BURNET
CAMP CASS CORYELL
EDWARDS FALLS FRANKLIN
FREESTONE GILLESPIE HAYS
HENDERSON HILL HOPKINS
KAUFMAN KENDALL KERR
LAMPASAS LEON LIMESTONE
LLANO MCLENNAN MILAM
MORRIS NAVARRO RAINS
REAL RED RIVER ROBERTSON
SMITH TITUS TRAVIS
UPSHUR VAL VERDE VAN ZANDT
WILLIAMSON WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 258
VALID 212330Z - 220040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 863
..BUNTING..05/21/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 258
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC057-061-081-091-099-133-220040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HEMPSTEAD HOWARD LITTLE RIVER
MILLER NEVADA SEVIER
$$
OKC089-220040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC001-027-031-035-037-053-063-067-099-119-137-139-145-159-161-
171-193-209-213-217-223-231-257-259-265-267-277-281-289-293-299-
307-309-319-327-331-333-343-349-379-385-387-395-397-411-423-435-
449-453-459-465-467-491-499-220040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BELL BLANCO
BOSQUE BOWIE BURNET
CAMP CASS CORYELL
DELTA EDWARDS ELLIS
FALLS FRANKLIN FREESTONE
GILLESPIE HAMILTON HAYS
HENDERSON HILL HOPKINS
HUNT KAUFMAN KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE LAMAR
LAMPASAS LEON LIMESTONE
LLANO MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN
MASON MENARD MILAM
MILLS MORRIS NAVARRO
RAINS REAL RED RIVER
ROBERTSON ROCKWALL SAN SABA
SMITH SUTTON TITUS
TRAVIS UPSHUR VAL VERDE
VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 258
VALID 212230Z - 212340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BUNTING..05/21/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 258
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC057-061-081-091-099-133-212340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HEMPSTEAD HOWARD LITTLE RIVER
MILLER NEVADA SEVIER
$$
OKC089-212340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC001-027-031-035-037-053-063-067-099-119-137-139-145-159-161-
171-193-209-213-217-223-231-257-259-265-267-277-281-289-293-299-
307-309-319-327-331-333-343-349-379-385-387-395-397-411-423-435-
449-453-459-465-467-491-499-212340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BELL BLANCO
BOSQUE BOWIE BURNET
CAMP CASS CORYELL
DELTA EDWARDS ELLIS
FALLS FRANKLIN FREESTONE
GILLESPIE HAMILTON HAYS
HENDERSON HILL HOPKINS
HUNT KAUFMAN KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE LAMAR
LAMPASAS LEON LIMESTONE
LLANO MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN
MASON MENARD MILAM
MILLS MORRIS NAVARRO
RAINS REAL RED RIVER
ROBERTSON ROCKWALL SAN SABA
SMITH SUTTON TITUS
TRAVIS UPSHUR VAL VERDE
VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 258
VALID 212130Z - 212240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BUNTING..05/21/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 258
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC057-061-081-091-099-133-212240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HEMPSTEAD HOWARD LITTLE RIVER
MILLER NEVADA SEVIER
$$
OKC089-212240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC001-027-031-035-037-053-063-067-099-119-137-139-145-159-161-
171-193-209-213-217-223-231-257-259-265-267-277-281-289-293-299-
307-309-319-327-331-333-343-349-379-385-387-395-397-411-423-435-
449-453-459-465-467-491-499-212240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BELL BLANCO
BOSQUE BOWIE BURNET
CAMP CASS CORYELL
DELTA EDWARDS ELLIS
FALLS FRANKLIN FREESTONE
GILLESPIE HAMILTON HAYS
HENDERSON HILL HOPKINS
HUNT KAUFMAN KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE LAMAR
LAMPASAS LEON LIMESTONE
LLANO MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN
MASON MENARD MILAM
MILLS MORRIS NAVARRO
RAINS REAL RED RIVER
ROBERTSON ROCKWALL SAN SABA
SMITH SUTTON TITUS
TRAVIS UPSHUR VAL VERDE
VAN ZANDT WILLIAMSON WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.