Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 16
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 AM CST Thu Jan 12 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme southern Indiana
Central Kentucky
* Effective this Thursday morning from 500 AM until NOON CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of storms with bowing and supercell structures
will persist through the morning and spread into central Kentucky.
The storm environment will support the threat for damaging winds of
60-70 mph, hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter, and possibly an
isolated tornado or two.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles south southeast
of Bowling Green KY to 15 miles north northwest of Louisville KY.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 15...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24050.
...Thompson
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 16
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 AM CST Thu Jan 12 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme southern Indiana
Central Kentucky
* Effective this Thursday morning from 500 AM until NOON CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of storms with bowing and supercell structures
will persist through the morning and spread into central Kentucky.
The storm environment will support the threat for damaging winds of
60-70 mph, hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter, and possibly an
isolated tornado or two.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles south southeast
of Bowling Green KY to 15 miles north northwest of Louisville KY.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 15...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24050.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 16 SEVERE TSTM IN KY 121100Z - 121800Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25SSE BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/ - 15NNW SDF/LOUISVILLE KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /20SSE BWG - 21NW IIU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
LAT...LON 36638715 38388676 38388491 36638535
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 16 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 16
VALID 121545Z - 121640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE HOP TO
30 W BWG TO 25 NNW BWG TO 45 E OWB TO 25 SSW SDF TO 20 SE SDF TO
15 NW LEX.
..THORNTON..01/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-005-009-017-021-045-049-053-057-061-067-079-085-087-
093-099-113-123-137-141-151-155-167-169-171-179-181-207-213-217-
227-229-239-121640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BOURBON BOYLE
CASEY CLARK CLINTON
CUMBERLAND EDMONSON FAYETTE
GARRARD GRAYSON GREEN
HARDIN HART JESSAMINE
LARUE LINCOLN LOGAN
MADISON MARION MERCER
METCALFE MONROE NELSON
NICHOLAS RUSSELL SIMPSON
TAYLOR WARREN WASHINGTON
WOODFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 16
VALID 121440Z - 121540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 48
..THORNTON..01/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-005-009-017-021-029-031-045-049-053-057-061-067-073-
079-085-087-093-097-099-103-111-113-123-137-141-151-155-167-169-
171-179-181-185-207-209-211-213-215-217-223-227-229-239-
121540-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BOURBON BOYLE
BULLITT BUTLER CASEY
CLARK CLINTON CUMBERLAND
EDMONSON FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GARRARD GRAYSON GREEN
HARDIN HARRISON HART
HENRY JEFFERSON JESSAMINE
LARUE LINCOLN LOGAN
MADISON MARION MERCER
METCALFE MONROE NELSON
NICHOLAS OLDHAM RUSSELL
SCOTT SHELBY SIMPSON
SPENCER TAYLOR TRIMBLE
WARREN WASHINGTON WOODFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 16
VALID 121245Z - 121340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE HOP TO
30 W BWG TO 25 NNW BWG TO 45 SW SDF TO 30 NNW SDF.
..JEWELL..01/12/23
ATTN...WFO...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-043-061-121340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK FLOYD HARRISON
$$
KYC001-003-005-009-021-029-031-045-057-061-073-085-087-093-099-
103-111-123-141-155-163-167-169-171-179-185-211-213-215-217-223-
227-229-239-121340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BOYLE BULLITT
BUTLER CASEY CUMBERLAND
EDMONSON FRANKLIN GRAYSON
GREEN HARDIN HART
HENRY JEFFERSON LARUE
LOGAN MARION MEADE
MERCER METCALFE MONROE
NELSON OLDHAM SHELBY
SIMPSON SPENCER TAYLOR
TRIMBLE WARREN WASHINGTON
WOODFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.