Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 38
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
955 AM CST Thu Feb 16 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme northeast Louisiana
Central and southern Mississippi
* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 955 AM until
500 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered supercells are expected to spread northeastward
into central Mississippi through the afternoon, with the threat for
a strong tornado or two, damaging gusts of 60-70 mph, and isolated
large hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 15 miles south southwest of Mc Comb MS
to 35 miles east northeast of Greenwood MS. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 37...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Thompson
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 38
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
955 AM CST Thu Feb 16 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Extreme northeast Louisiana
Central and southern Mississippi
* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 955 AM until
500 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered supercells are expected to spread northeastward
into central Mississippi through the afternoon, with the threat for
a strong tornado or two, damaging gusts of 60-70 mph, and isolated
large hail up to 1.5 inches in diameter.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 15 miles south southwest of Mc Comb MS
to 35 miles east northeast of Greenwood MS. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 37...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 38 TORNADO LA MS 161555Z - 162300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15SSW MCB/MC COMB MS/ - 35ENE GWO/GREENWOOD MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /25SW MCB - 41ENE SQS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 30979175 33689074 33688830 30978939
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 38 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 38
VALID 162235Z - 162340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW MCB
TO 50 NNE MCB TO 65 S GWO TO 45 ENE GWO.
..KERR..02/16/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC005-023-031-035-061-065-067-069-073-075-077-087-091-099-101-
103-113-123-127-129-147-159-162340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMITE CLARKE COVINGTON
FORREST JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LOWNDES
MARION NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE PIKE SCOTT
SIMPSON SMITH WALTHALL
WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 38
VALID 162130Z - 162240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW MCB
TO 15 SE HEZ TO 40 NE HEZ TO 70 S GWO TO 35 S GWO TO 40 NE GWO.
..LYONS..02/16/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC005-007-019-023-025-029-031-035-037-051-061-065-067-069-073-
075-077-079-085-087-089-091-097-099-101-103-105-113-121-123-127-
129-147-155-159-162240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMITE ATTALA CHOCTAW
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
HOLMES JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SIMPSON SMITH WALTHALL
WEBSTER WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 38
VALID 161935Z - 162040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W HEZ TO
30 NNE HEZ TO 65 SSE GLH TO 15 SSW GWO TO 15 NNE GWO TO 20 NNE
GWO.
..LYONS..02/16/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC029-162040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CONCORDIA
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-043-049-051-
061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-087-089-091-097-099-101-
103-105-113-121-123-127-129-147-149-155-157-159-163-162040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SIMPSON SMITH WALTHALL
WARREN WEBSTER WILKINSON
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 38
VALID 161830Z - 161940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E MLU TO
30 S GLH TO 35 NE GLH.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 164
..LYONS..02/16/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC029-065-107-161940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CONCORDIA MADISON TENSAS
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-043-049-051-
053-055-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-083-085-087-089-091-
097-099-101-103-105-113-121-123-125-127-129-133-147-149-155-157-
159-163-161940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JASPER
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LEFLORE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SIMPSON SMITH
SUNFLOWER WALTHALL WARREN
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
