Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 185
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
700 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and South-Central Texas
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 700 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms including supercells will gradually spread
eastward into a broad part of central Texas, and possibly across the
Rio Grande, while upstream storms across southwest Texas are also
expected to organize and move into the region.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles east northeast
of Stephenville TX to 40 miles west southwest of Hondo TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 183...WW 184...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Guyer
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 185
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
700 PM CDT Sat May 4 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and South-Central Texas
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 700 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms including supercells will gradually spread
eastward into a broad part of central Texas, and possibly across the
Rio Grande, while upstream storms across southwest Texas are also
expected to organize and move into the region.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles east northeast
of Stephenville TX to 40 miles west southwest of Hondo TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 183...WW 184...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 185 SEVERE TSTM TX 050000Z - 050700Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45ENE SEP/STEPHENVILLE TX/ - 40WSW HDO/HONDO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /32SW TTT - 53ESE DLF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
LAT...LON 32469644 29129880 29120079 32469850
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 185 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 185
VALID 050540Z - 050640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW JCT
TO 45 NE JCT TO 40 SSE BWD TO 40 W ACT TO 20 NW ACT TO 20 SSW DAL.
..BROYLES..05/05/24
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 185
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-027-031-053-091-099-137-145-209-217-259-265-267-271-281-
293-299-309-319-323-331-385-395-411-453-491-050640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA BELL BLANCO
BURNET COMAL CORYELL
EDWARDS FALLS HAYS
HILL KENDALL KERR
KIMBLE KINNEY LAMPASAS
LIMESTONE LLANO MCLENNAN
MASON MAVERICK MILAM
REAL ROBERTSON SAN SABA
TRAVIS WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 185
VALID 050430Z - 050540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW BWD TO
30 S SEP TO 25 E SEP TO 30 SSW DAL.
..GOSS..05/05/24
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 185
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-027-031-035-053-091-099-137-139-145-193-209-217-251-259-
265-267-271-281-293-299-309-319-323-331-333-385-395-411-425-453-
491-050540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA BELL BLANCO
BOSQUE BURNET COMAL
CORYELL EDWARDS ELLIS
FALLS HAMILTON HAYS
HILL JOHNSON KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE KINNEY
LAMPASAS LIMESTONE LLANO
MCLENNAN MASON MAVERICK
MILAM MILLS REAL
ROBERTSON SAN SABA SOMERVELL
TRAVIS WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 185
VALID 050245Z - 050340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..FLOURNOY..05/05/24
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 185
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-027-031-035-053-091-093-099-133-137-143-145-193-209-217-
221-251-259-265-267-271-281-293-299-309-319-323-331-333-385-395-
411-425-453-491-050340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA BELL BLANCO
BOSQUE BURNET COMAL
COMANCHE CORYELL EASTLAND
EDWARDS ERATH FALLS
HAMILTON HAYS HILL
HOOD JOHNSON KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE KINNEY
LAMPASAS LIMESTONE LLANO
MCLENNAN MASON MAVERICK
MILAM MILLS REAL
ROBERTSON SAN SABA SOMERVELL
TRAVIS WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 185
VALID 050115Z - 050240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..FLOURNOY..05/05/24
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 185
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-027-031-035-053-091-093-099-133-137-143-145-193-209-217-
221-251-259-265-267-271-281-293-299-309-319-323-331-333-385-395-
411-425-453-491-050240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA BELL BLANCO
BOSQUE BURNET COMAL
COMANCHE CORYELL EASTLAND
EDWARDS ERATH FALLS
HAMILTON HAYS HILL
HOOD JOHNSON KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE KINNEY
LAMPASAS LIMESTONE LLANO
MCLENNAN MASON MAVERICK
MILAM MILLS REAL
ROBERTSON SAN SABA SOMERVELL
TRAVIS WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.