Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 195
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1050 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast New Mexico
West Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 1050 PM
until 600 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to redevelop
across the region the remainder of the evening into the overnight,
with large hail as the most common hazard.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles south southwest
of Hobbs NM to 50 miles north of Abilene TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 194...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Guyer
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 195
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1050 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast New Mexico
West Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 1050 PM
until 600 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to redevelop
across the region the remainder of the evening into the overnight,
with large hail as the most common hazard.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 5 miles south southwest
of Hobbs NM to 50 miles north of Abilene TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 194...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 195 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 300350Z - 301100Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
5SSW HOB/HOBBS NM/ - 50N ABI/ABILENE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /45N INK - 41NNE ABI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 33550325 34089968 32209968 31670325
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 195 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 195
VALID 300850Z - 300940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-300940-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
$$
TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219-
227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441-
445-447-495-501-300940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN
COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FISHER GAINES GARZA
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY
HOWARD JONES KENT
KING LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL
TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON
WINKLER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 195
VALID 300640Z - 300740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/30/25
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-300740-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
$$
TXC003-033-059-079-101-107-115-125-135-151-165-169-173-207-219-
227-253-263-269-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-415-417-431-433-441-
445-447-495-501-300740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN CALLAHAN
COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FISHER GAINES GARZA
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOCKLEY
HOWARD JONES KENT
KING LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL
TAYLOR TERRY THROCKMORTON
WINKLER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
