|
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook Issued on Jul 4, 2008
Updated: Fri Jul 4 09:14:03 UTC 2008
Note:
A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period
indicates a 30% or higher probability for severe
thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
| D4 | Mon, Jul 07, 2008 - Tue, Jul 08, 2008 |
D7 | Thu, Jul 10, 2008 - Fri, Jul 11, 2008 |
| D5 | Tue, Jul 08, 2008 - Wed, Jul 09, 2008 |
D8 | Fri, Jul 11, 2008 - Sat, Jul 12, 2008 |
| D6 | Wed, Jul 09, 2008 - Thu, Jul 10, 2008 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
ACUS48 KWNS 040913
SPC AC 040913
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0413 AM CDT FRI JUL 04 2008
VALID 071200Z - 121200Z
...DISCUSSION...
AFTER SOMEWHAT ZONAL INTERMISSIONS DAYS 2-3...UPPER AIR PATTERN FCST
TO UNDERGO TRANSITION BACK TOWARD DOMINANT WRN RIDGE/ERN TROUGH
CONFIGURATION THROUGH AT LEAST DAY-6/10TH-11TH...AS SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES REINFORCE PRE-EXISTING HEIGHT WEAKNESS FROM GREAT LAKES
TO GULF COAST. AS THIS OCCURS...SFC COLD FRONT DESCRIBED IN DAY-2/3
OUTLOOKS MAY STALL NEARLY PARALLEL TO UPPER FLOW BUT CONTINUE TO
FOCUS STG-SVR TSTM POTENTIAL OVER PORTIONS GREAT LAKES EWD TOWARD
MID-ATLANTIC REGION DAYS 4-6. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTIES REGARDING
LOW-MIDLEVEL KINEMATIC FIELDS AND RELATED SHEAR PARAMETERS
ALONG/AHEAD OF FRONT -- EVIDENT IN MREF GUIDANCE AND SPECTRAL/ECMWF
GUIDANCE -- PRECLUDE CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK FOR SPECIFIC/CONCENTRATED
SVR AREA ATTM.
..EDWARDS.. 07/04/2008
CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
|
|
weather.gov 
