MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0224
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0954 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...NERN/E-CNTRL KS...W-CNTRL MO
   
   CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 
   
   VALID 140254Z - 140700Z
   
   A NARROW BAND OF HEAVY SNOW...WITH RATES AROUND 1 IN/HR...IS
   EXPECTED TO SHIFT E/SEWD DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS FROM JUST N
   OF THE MANHATTAN/TOPEKA AREAS ACROSS THE KANSAS CITY METRO TO NEAR
   JEFFERSON CITY THROUGH ABOUT 09Z.
   
   RECENT METARS AND STORM REPORTS INDICATE HEAVY SNOW ONGOING ACROSS
   N-CNTRL/NERN KS PRIMARILY JUST N OF MHK. THIS APPEARS TO BE IN
   RESPONSE TO THE COMBINATION OF STRONG LOW-LEVEL FRONTOGENETICAL
   FORCING ALONG WITH DCVA IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SHORT WAVE TROUGH
   CROSSING WRN KS ATTM. 00Z NAM REMAINS CONSISTENT THAT AS THIS AXIS
   OF STRONGER FORCED ASCENT SHIFTS E/SEWD...THE LOW-LEVEL THERMAL
   COLUMN WILL GRADUALLY COOL TO NEAR/BELOW FREEZING...RESULTING IN
   RAIN TRANSITIONING TO SNOW ACROSS AT LEAST W-CNTRL MO AND PERHAPS
   INTO CNTRL MO. SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 IN/HR...SUPPORTED BY 21Z SREF
   AND 00Z HRRR GUIDANCE...WILL LIKELY DEVELOP E/SEWD IN CONCERT WITH
   THIS TRANSITION ACROSS THE KANSAS CITY METRO AREA TOWARDS
   COLUMBIA/JEFFERSON CITY THROUGH EARLY MORNING.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 03/14/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...
   
   LAT...LON   38699708 39479691 39819619 39629454 39449368 39209291
               38939244 38769217 38409225 38209269 38199307 38389391
               38489509 38539553 38589638 38699708