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Mesoscale Discussion 1088
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1088
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0710 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

   Areas affected...south-central Kansas and northwestern Oklahoma

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 307...

   Valid 160010Z - 160215Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 307 continues.

   SUMMARY...A significant severe weather threat, including all hazards
   (tornado, hail, and wind), will continue over the next few hours
   mainly across northwestern Oklahoma.

   DISCUSSION...A severe MCS with a history of producing
   significant-severe wind gusts across southwestern Kansas is
   continuing to move eastward while semi-discrete supercells have
   formed at the southern end of the line producing tornadoes and large
   hail.  The northern end of the MCS will encounter decreasing
   instability and increasing inhibition across south-central Kansas
   over the next couple of hours leading to eventual weakening of the
   northern end of the MCS.  Meanwhile, larger instability and weaker
   inhibition into west-central Oklahoma will continue to promote
   supercell development at the southern end of the line with tornado
   and large-hail potential.  The net effect should be more of a
   southeastward propagation of the MCS toward central Oklahoma with
   the most intense convection and supercellular characteristics at the
   southern end of the line over the next few hours.

   ..Jirak/Grams.. 06/16/2023

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...

   LAT...LON   35770006 36229982 36919945 37479937 37729920 37769867
               37699816 37399794 36879780 36299766 35809758 35419777
               35239816 35279898 35489950 35770006 

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Page last modified: June 16, 2023
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