Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 357
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CDT SUN MAY 25 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
MUCH OF TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
GARDEN CITY KANSAS TO 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AMARILLO TEXAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...VERY UNSTABLE AIR STREAMING NWD THRU TX/OK PANHANDLES
INTO SWRN KS. WITH STRONG HEATING AND 30-40KT OF DEEP LAYER
SHEAR...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY ALONG
DRY LN WRN PORTION OF WATCH. SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY INCLUDING VERY
LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES AS STORMS DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS
WATCH AREA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
...HALES
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 357
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CDT SUN MAY 25 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST KANSAS
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
MUCH OF TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL
600 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
GARDEN CITY KANSAS TO 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF AMARILLO TEXAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...VERY UNSTABLE AIR STREAMING NWD THRU TX/OK PANHANDLES
INTO SWRN KS. WITH STRONG HEATING AND 30-40KT OF DEEP LAYER
SHEAR...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY ALONG
DRY LN WRN PORTION OF WATCH. SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY INCLUDING VERY
LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES AS STORMS DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS
WATCH AREA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 357 TORNADO KS OK TX 251740Z - 252300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
65NNE GCK/GARDEN CITY KS/ - 55SW AMA/AMARILLO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /28S HLC - 23ENE TXO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 38799905 34650126 34650355 38790147
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 357 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 357
VALID 252235Z - 252340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW DHT
TO 30 ENE DHT TO 15 SSW GUY TO 15 NE EHA TO 40 NE SPD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1030.
..EDWARDS..05/25/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 357
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC025-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-129-135-
145-165-171-175-187-189-252340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK EDWARDS FINNEY
FORD GRANT GRAY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
MEADE MORTON NESS
PAWNEE RUSH SCOTT
SEWARD STANTON STEVENS
$$
OKC007-139-252340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER TEXAS
$$
TXC011-065-111-117-195-205-233-295-341-357-359-375-381-393-421-
252340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON DALLAM
DEAF SMITH HANSFORD HARTLEY
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB MOORE
OCHILTREE OLDHAM POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 357
VALID 252125Z - 252240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/25/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 357
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC025-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-129-135-
145-165-171-175-187-189-252240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK EDWARDS FINNEY
FORD GRANT GRAY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
MEADE MORTON NESS
PAWNEE RUSH SCOTT
SEWARD STANTON STEVENS
$$
OKC007-025-139-252240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-065-111-117-195-205-233-295-341-357-359-375-381-393-421-
252240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON DALLAM
DEAF SMITH HANSFORD HARTLEY
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB MOORE
OCHILTREE OLDHAM POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 357
VALID 252030Z - 252140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/25/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 357
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC025-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-129-135-
145-165-171-175-187-189-252140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK EDWARDS FINNEY
FORD GRANT GRAY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
MEADE MORTON NESS
PAWNEE RUSH SCOTT
SEWARD STANTON STEVENS
$$
OKC007-025-139-252140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-065-111-117-195-205-233-295-341-357-359-375-381-393-421-
252140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON DALLAM
DEAF SMITH HANSFORD HARTLEY
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB MOORE
OCHILTREE OLDHAM POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 357
VALID 251930Z - 252040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/25/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 357
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC025-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-129-135-
145-165-171-175-187-189-252040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK EDWARDS FINNEY
FORD GRANT GRAY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
MEADE MORTON NESS
PAWNEE RUSH SCOTT
SEWARD STANTON STEVENS
$$
OKC007-025-139-252040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-065-111-117-195-205-233-295-341-357-359-375-381-393-421-
252040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON DALLAM
DEAF SMITH HANSFORD HARTLEY
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB MOORE
OCHILTREE OLDHAM POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 357
VALID 251840Z - 251940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/25/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 357
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC025-047-055-057-067-069-075-081-083-093-097-101-119-129-135-
145-165-171-175-187-189-251940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK EDWARDS FINNEY
FORD GRANT GRAY
HAMILTON HASKELL HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
MEADE MORTON NESS
PAWNEE RUSH SCOTT
SEWARD STANTON STEVENS
$$
OKC007-025-139-251940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-065-111-117-195-205-233-295-341-357-359-375-381-393-421-
251940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG CARSON DALLAM
DEAF SMITH HANSFORD HARTLEY
HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB MOORE
OCHILTREE OLDHAM POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.