Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 722
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1205 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND EAST CENTRAL INDIANA
NORTHERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHWEST OHIO
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING FROM 1205 AM UNTIL 600 AM EDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES WEST OF
BLOOMINGTON INDIANA TO 85 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF CINCINNATI
OHIO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 719...WW 720...WW 721...
DISCUSSION...AIR MASS REMAINS MODERATE TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE ACROSS
THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING...AS 00Z SOUNDINGS INDICATE SEASONABLY
STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE AND SPREAD FROM WNW TO ESE ACROSS THE
REGION WITHIN DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 30-40 KT. THIS
SHOULD SUSTAIN ORGANIZED MCS/POSSIBLE BOW ECHO...ALONG WITH
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31035.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 722 SEVERE TSTM IN KY OH 220405Z - 221000Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
10W BMG/BLOOMINGTON IN/ - 85ESE LUK/CINCINNATI OH/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /29SE TTH - 45W HNN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31035.
LAT...LON 40158680 39638297 37618297 38138680
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 722 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 722
VALID 220855Z - 220940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE OWB TO
30 ENE SDF TO 35 SE LUK TO 35 WNW UNI.
..BROYLES..07/22/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 722
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC123-220940-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PERRY
$$
KYC005-011-017-023-029-049-063-067-069-073-097-111-135-161-163-
165-173-175-181-201-205-209-211-215-239-220940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BATH BOURBON
BRACKEN BULLITT CLARK
ELLIOTT FAYETTE FLEMING
FRANKLIN HARRISON JEFFERSON
LEWIS MASON MEADE
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NICHOLAS ROBERTSON ROWAN
SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER
WOODFORD
$$
OHC001-131-145-220940-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS PIKE SCIOTO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 722
VALID 220725Z - 220840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW BMG
TO 40 ESE BMG TO 55 W LUK TO 25 SE MIE.
..BROYLES..07/22/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 722
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-025-029-037-041-043-047-061-077-115-117-123-137-143-155-
161-175-177-220840-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DEARBORN
DUBOIS FAYETTE FLOYD
FRANKLIN HARRISON JEFFERSON
OHIO ORANGE PERRY
RIPLEY SCOTT SWITZERLAND
UNION WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
KYC005-011-015-017-023-029-037-041-049-063-067-069-073-077-081-
097-103-111-117-135-161-163-165-173-175-181-185-187-191-201-205-
209-211-215-223-239-220840-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BATH BOONE
BOURBON BRACKEN BULLITT
CAMPBELL CARROLL CLARK
ELLIOTT FAYETTE FLEMING
FRANKLIN GALLATIN GRANT
HARRISON HENRY JEFFERSON
KENTON LEWIS MASON
MEADE MENIFEE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NICHOLAS OLDHAM
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
ROWAN SCOTT SHELBY
SPENCER TRIMBLE WOODFORD
$$
OHC001-015-017-025-027-047-057-061-071-113-131-135-141-145-165-
220840-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN BUTLER
CLERMONT CLINTON FAYETTE
GREENE HAMILTON HIGHLAND
MONTGOMERY PIKE PREBLE
ROSS SCIOTO WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 722
VALID 220545Z - 220640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..07/22/08
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 722
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-025-029-037-041-043-047-061-077-115-117-123-137-143-155-
161-175-177-220640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DEARBORN
DUBOIS FAYETTE FLOYD
FRANKLIN HARRISON JEFFERSON
OHIO ORANGE PERRY
RIPLEY SCOTT SWITZERLAND
UNION WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
KYC005-011-015-017-023-029-037-041-049-063-067-069-073-077-081-
097-103-111-117-135-161-163-165-173-175-181-185-187-191-201-205-
209-211-215-223-239-220640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BATH BOONE
BOURBON BRACKEN BULLITT
CAMPBELL CARROLL CLARK
ELLIOTT FAYETTE FLEMING
FRANKLIN GALLATIN GRANT
HARRISON HENRY JEFFERSON
KENTON LEWIS MASON
MEADE MENIFEE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NICHOLAS OLDHAM
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
ROWAN SCOTT SHELBY
SPENCER TRIMBLE WOODFORD
$$
OHC001-015-017-025-027-047-057-061-071-113-131-135-141-145-165-
220640-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN BUTLER
CLERMONT CLINTON FAYETTE
GREENE HAMILTON HIGHLAND
MONTGOMERY PIKE PREBLE
ROSS SCIOTO WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.