Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 230
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
810 AM CDT WED APR 27 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN ALABAMA
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 810 AM UNTIL
200 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OXFORD
MISSISSIPPI TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF GADSDEN ALABAMA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 226...WW 227...WW
228...WW 229...
DISCUSSION...STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS NRN MS THROUGH NRN AL ARE
EMBEDDED WITHIN VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WITH LARGE
HODOGRAPHS. AS THE ATMOSPHERE DESTABILIZES...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
FOR TORNADOES...DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...DIAL
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 230 TORNADO AL MS 271310Z - 271900Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15SW UOX/OXFORD MS/ - 30NNE GAD/GADSDEN AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /52SSE MEM - 50SW GQO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 34958972 35098587 33658587 33508972
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 230 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 230
VALID 271835Z - 271940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 230
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-049-057-059-071-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-103-127-
133-271940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN DEKALB
FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MORGAN WALKER
WINSTON
$$
MSC117-271940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PRENTISS
$$
TNC051-103-127-271940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN LINCOLN MOORE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 230
VALID 271730Z - 271840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 621
..SMITH..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 230
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-049-057-059-071-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-103-127-
133-271840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN DEKALB
FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MORGAN WALKER
WINSTON
$$
MSC117-271840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PRENTISS
$$
TNC051-103-127-271840-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN LINCOLN MOORE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 230
VALID 271635Z - 271740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 620
..SMITH..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 230
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-049-057-059-071-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-103-127-
133-271740-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN DEKALB
FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MORGAN WALKER
WINSTON
$$
MSC117-271740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PRENTISS
$$
TNC051-103-127-271740-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN LINCOLN MOORE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 230
VALID 271545Z - 271640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 230
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-049-057-059-071-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-103-127-
133-271640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN DEKALB
FAYETTE FRANKLIN JACKSON
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MARSHALL MORGAN WALKER
WINSTON
$$
MSC003-013-015-017-019-025-043-057-071-081-083-087-095-097-105-
115-117-139-141-145-155-161-271640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN CALHOUN CARROLL
CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLAY
GRENADA ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE
LEE LEFLORE LOWNDES
MONROE MONTGOMERY OKTIBBEHA
PONTOTOC PRENTISS TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WEBSTER
YALOBUSHA
$$
TNC051-103-127-271640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN LINCOLN MOORE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 230
VALID 271445Z - 271540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 230
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-057-059-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-103-127-133-
271540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN FAYETTE
FRANKLIN LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MARION MARSHALL MORGAN
WALKER WINSTON
$$
MSC003-013-015-017-019-025-043-057-071-081-083-087-095-097-105-
115-117-139-141-145-155-161-271540-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN CALHOUN CARROLL
CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLAY
GRENADA ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE
LEE LEFLORE LOWNDES
MONROE MONTGOMERY OKTIBBEHA
PONTOTOC PRENTISS TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WEBSTER
YALOBUSHA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 230
VALID 271355Z - 271440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..04/27/11
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 230
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-057-059-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-103-127-133-
271440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN FAYETTE
FRANKLIN LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MARION MARSHALL MORGAN
WALKER WINSTON
$$
MSC003-013-015-017-019-025-043-057-071-081-083-087-095-097-105-
115-117-139-141-145-155-161-271440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN CALHOUN CARROLL
CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLAY
GRENADA ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE
LEE LEFLORE LOWNDES
MONROE MONTGOMERY OKTIBBEHA
PONTOTOC PRENTISS TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WEBSTER
YALOBUSHA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.