Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 53
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
440 PM CDT Tue Mar 17 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West Texas
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon from 440 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to develop
across the region including some supercells capable of large hail
and damaging winds. A tornado risk cannot be ruled out near the warm
front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles north northwest
of Abilene TX to 35 miles east southeast of Dryden TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 52...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 53 SEVERE TSTM TX 172140Z - 180500Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
75NNW ABI/ABILENE TX/ - 35ESE 6R6/DRYDEN TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /57S CDS - 55WNW DLF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 33419862 29840017 29840317 33410174
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 53 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 53
VALID 180335Z - 180440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..03/18/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-081-083-095-105-137-151-207-235-253-327-353-383-399-413-
417-431-435-441-443-447-451-465-180440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
CONCHO CROCKETT EDWARDS
FISHER HASKELL IRION
JONES MENARD NOLAN
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD STERLING SUTTON
TAYLOR TERRELL THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 53
VALID 180240Z - 180340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW 6R6 TO
40 SE MAF TO 50 S CDS.
..BROYLES..03/18/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-081-083-095-105-137-151-207-235-253-327-353-383-399-413-
417-431-435-441-443-447-451-465-180340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
CONCHO CROCKETT EDWARDS
FISHER HASKELL IRION
JONES MENARD NOLAN
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD STERLING SUTTON
TAYLOR TERRELL THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 53
VALID 180135Z - 180240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW 6R6 TO
25 S BGS TO 50 S CDS.
..BROYLES..03/18/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-081-083-095-105-137-151-207-235-253-327-353-383-399-413-
417-431-435-441-443-447-451-465-180240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
CONCHO CROCKETT EDWARDS
FISHER HASKELL IRION
JONES MENARD NOLAN
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD STERLING SUTTON
TAYLOR TERRELL THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 53
VALID 180030Z - 180140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW 6R6 TO
45 SE MAF TO 60 S CDS.
..BROYLES..03/18/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-081-083-095-105-137-151-207-235-253-327-353-383-399-413-
417-431-435-441-443-447-451-465-180140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
CONCHO CROCKETT EDWARDS
FISHER HASKELL IRION
JONES MENARD NOLAN
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SHACKELFORD STERLING SUTTON
TAYLOR TERRELL THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 53
VALID 172345Z - 180040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW 6R6
TO 55 ESE LBB.
..BROYLES..03/17/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-081-083-095-105-137-151-173-191-207-227-235-253-263-327-
335-353-383-399-413-415-417-431-433-435-441-443-447-451-461-465-
180040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
CONCHO CROCKETT EDWARDS
FISHER GLASSCOCK HALL
HASKELL HOWARD IRION
JONES KENT MENARD
MITCHELL NOLAN REAGAN
RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL
SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 53
VALID 172235Z - 172340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..03/17/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 53
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-059-081-083-095-103-105-115-137-151-169-173-207-227-235-
253-263-317-327-329-335-353-371-383-399-413-415-417-431-433-435-
441-443-447-451-461-465-172340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO CRANE
CROCKETT DAWSON EDWARDS
FISHER GARZA GLASSCOCK
HASKELL HOWARD IRION
JONES KENT MARTIN
MENARD MIDLAND MITCHELL
NOLAN PECOS REAGAN
RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING STONEWALL
SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.