Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 2
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
Southeast Kansas
Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify rapidly this afternoon over
eastern Oklahoma and southeast Kansas. These storms will pose a
risk of large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes. Activity
will spread eastward into western Arkansas this evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Chanute KS
to 65 miles south southeast of Mcalester OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Hart
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 2
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwest Arkansas
Southeast Kansas
Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify rapidly this afternoon over
eastern Oklahoma and southeast Kansas. These storms will pose a
risk of large hail, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes. Activity
will spread eastward into western Arkansas this evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles north northwest of Chanute KS
to 65 miles south southeast of Mcalester OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 2 TORNADO AR KS OK 022135Z - 030400Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NNW CNU/CHANUTE KS/ - 65SSE MLC/MCALESTER OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /58WSW BUM - 55SSE MLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 38069440 34009412 34009657 38069698
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 2 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 2
VALID 030230Z - 030340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW PRX
TO 25 N MLC TO 10 WSW GMJ TO 10 WNW UMN.
..WENDT..01/03/23
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 2
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-030340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-021-023-041-061-077-079-091-101-121-127-135-030340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
DELAWARE HASKELL LATIMER
LE FLORE MCINTOSH MUSKOGEE
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 2
VALID 030110Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW PRX TO
30 NNW MLC TO 10 WNW TUL TO 35 NW BVO TO 20 W EMP.
..LYONS..01/03/23
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 2
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-030240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
KSC001-011-019-021-037-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-030240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD ELK
GREENWOOD LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC001-021-023-035-041-061-077-079-091-097-101-105-115-121-127-
131-135-145-147-030240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CRAIG DELAWARE HASKELL
LATIMER LE FLORE MCINTOSH
MAYES MUSKOGEE NOWATA
OTTAWA PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
ROGERS SEQUOYAH WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 2
VALID 030025Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE DUA
TO 40 WSW MKO TO 35 NW BVO TO 25 WSW EMP.
..LYONS..01/03/23
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 2
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-030140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
KSC001-011-019-021-037-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-030140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD ELK
GREENWOOD LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC001-021-023-035-041-061-077-079-091-097-101-105-111-115-121-
127-131-135-143-145-147-030140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CHOCTAW
CRAIG DELAWARE HASKELL
LATIMER LE FLORE MCINTOSH
MAYES MUSKOGEE NOWATA
OKMULGEE OTTAWA PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA ROGERS SEQUOYAH
TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 2
VALID 030000Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E ICT TO
25 ENE PNC TO 25 W TUL TO 25 NW MLC TO 25 NNE DUA TO 10 SE GYI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 10
..LYONS..01/02/23
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 2
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-030140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
KSC001-011-015-019-021-037-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-030140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON BUTLER
CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
ELK GREENWOOD LABETTE
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
WOODSON
$$
OKC001-005-021-023-035-041-061-077-079-091-097-101-105-111-113-
115-121-127-131-135-143-145-147-030140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA CHEROKEE
CHOCTAW CRAIG DELAWARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MAYES MUSKOGEE
NOWATA OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
ROGERS SEQUOYAH TULSA
WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 2
VALID 022240Z - 022340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..01/02/23
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 2
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-022340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CRAWFORD
FRANKLIN MADISON SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
KSC001-011-015-019-021-035-037-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-
022340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON BUTLER
CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COWLEY
CRAWFORD ELK GREENWOOD
LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC001-005-013-021-023-029-035-037-041-061-063-069-071-077-079-
081-091-095-097-101-103-105-107-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-
127-131-133-135-143-145-147-022340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHEROKEE CHOCTAW COAL
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
HASKELL HUGHES JOHNSTON
KAY LATIMER LE FLORE
LINCOLN MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MAYES MUSKOGEE NOBLE
NOWATA OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE
OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE
PAYNE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA ROGERS
SEMINOLE SEQUOYAH TULSA
WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.