Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 58
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
805 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Florida
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 805 PM
until 300 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A linear cluster of storms, along with some line-preceding
supercells, will initially approach the Florida Keys, and eventually
the far southern Florida Peninsula later this evening. Within a
favorably moist environment amid strong deep-layer winds, these
storms will pose a waterspout/tornado risk aside from wind damage.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 70 miles west of Key West FL to 70
miles east southeast of Miami FL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27035.
...Guyer
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 58
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
805 PM EDT Fri Mar 22 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Florida
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 805 PM
until 300 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A linear cluster of storms, along with some line-preceding
supercells, will initially approach the Florida Keys, and eventually
the far southern Florida Peninsula later this evening. Within a
favorably moist environment amid strong deep-layer winds, these
storms will pose a waterspout/tornado risk aside from wind damage.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 70 miles west of Key West FL to 70
miles east southeast of Miami FL. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 27035.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 58 TORNADO FL CW 230005Z - 230700Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
70W EYW/KEY WEST FL/ - 70ESE MIA/MIAMI FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /59W EYW - 62ESE MIA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 25498288 26357924 24477924 23618288
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 58 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 58
VALID 230525Z - 230640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW EYW
TO 25 ESE EYW TO 30 ENE MTH TO 20 E MIA TO 60 ESE PBI.
..GRAMS..03/23/24
ATTN...WFO...MFL...KEY...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 58
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
AMZ651-671-GMZ052-053-072-073-074-230640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
EXCLUDING THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF BAHAMAS
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 58
VALID 230430Z - 230540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 WSW EYW
TO 10 SE EYW TO 45 NNE MTH TO 20 SW PBI.
..BROYLES..03/23/24
ATTN...WFO...MFL...KEY...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 58
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-086-230540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD MIAMI-DADE
$$
AMZ630-651-671-GMZ031-032-042-043-052-053-054-072-073-074-075-
230540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
EXCLUDING THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF BAHAMAS
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BARNES SOUND BLACKWATER SOUND AND
BUTTONWOOD SOUND
BAYSIDE AND GULF SIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT
TO THE REEF
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 58
VALID 230330Z - 230440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 WSW EYW
TO 20 NNW EYW TO 30 NNW MTH TO 20 NE APF.
..BROYLES..03/23/24
ATTN...WFO...MFL...KEY...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 58
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-021-086-087-230440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD COLLIER MIAMI-DADE
MONROE
$$
AMZ630-651-671-GMZ031-032-035-042-043-044-052-053-054-072-073-074-
075-657-230440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
EXCLUDING THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF BAHAMAS
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BARNES SOUND BLACKWATER SOUND AND
BUTTONWOOD SOUND
BAYSIDE AND GULF SIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON
SHOAL OUT TO 5 FATHOMS
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT
TO THE REEF
HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO THE REEF
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 58
VALID 230245Z - 230340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 90 WNW EYW
TO 30 N EYW TO 45 NW MTH TO 15 S APF.
..BROYLES..03/23/24
ATTN...WFO...MFL...KEY...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 58
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-021-086-087-230340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD COLLIER MIAMI-DADE
MONROE
$$
AMZ630-651-671-GMZ031-032-033-034-035-042-043-044-052-053-054-055-
072-073-074-075-656-657-676-230340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
EXCLUDING THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF BAHAMAS
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BARNES SOUND BLACKWATER SOUND AND
BUTTONWOOD SOUND
BAYSIDE AND GULF SIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
AND BEYOND 5 FATHOMS
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL
GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON
SHOAL OUT TO 5 FATHOMS
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT
TO THE REEF
HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO THE REEF
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 58
VALID 230145Z - 230240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..03/23/24
ATTN...WFO...MFL...KEY...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 58
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-021-086-087-230240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD COLLIER MIAMI-DADE
MONROE
$$
AMZ630-651-671-GMZ031-032-033-034-035-042-043-044-052-053-054-055-
072-073-074-075-656-657-676-230240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
EXCLUDING THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF BAHAMAS
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BARNES SOUND BLACKWATER SOUND AND
BUTTONWOOD SOUND
BAYSIDE AND GULF SIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
AND BEYOND 5 FATHOMS
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL
GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON
SHOAL OUT TO 5 FATHOMS
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT
TO THE REEF
HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO THE REEF
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 58
VALID 230050Z - 230140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..03/23/24
ATTN...WFO...MFL...KEY...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 58
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-021-086-087-230140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD COLLIER MIAMI-DADE
MONROE
$$
AMZ630-651-671-GMZ031-032-033-034-035-042-043-044-052-053-054-055-
072-073-074-075-656-657-676-230140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
EXCLUDING THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF BAHAMAS
FLORIDA BAY INCLUDING BARNES SOUND BLACKWATER SOUND AND
BUTTONWOOD SOUND
BAYSIDE AND GULF SIDE FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE
GULF WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
AND BEYOND 5 FATHOMS
GULF OF MEXICO INCLUDING DRY TORTUGAS AND REBECCA SHOAL CHANNEL
GULF OF MEXICO FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON
SHOAL OUT TO 5 FATHOMS
HAWK CHANNEL FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT TO THE REEF
HAWK CHANNEL FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE OUT
TO THE REEF
HAWK CHANNEL FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO HALFMOON SHOAL
OUT TO THE REEF
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS OUT 20 NM
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM CRAIG KEY TO WEST END OF SEVEN MILE
BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM WEST END OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO SOUTH OF
HALFMOON SHOAL 20 TO 60 NM OUT
STRAITS OF FLORIDA FROM HALFMOON SHOAL TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY
TORTUGAS 20 TO 60 NM OUT
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.