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Mesoscale Discussion 1056
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1056
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0701 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2019

   Areas affected...Portions of eastern New Mexico...west Texas...and
   the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 353...

   Valid 140001Z - 140100Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 353

   SUMMARY...Severe weather threat continues for the next several hours
   across Severe Thunderstorm Watch #353. In addition, the area
   downstream of WW #353 across portions of the Texas Panhandle is
   being monitored for a possible Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance.

   DISCUSSION...Radar/satellite/lightning data continue to indicate
   periodic strengthening of convection across WW #353. The environment
   across the area is characterized by 1000-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE and
   40-50 knots of effective bulk shear, which will continue to support
   at least isolated instances of large hail into the evening. Latest
   trends suggest some strengthening of convection across portions of
   northeastern New Mexico, and the OK/Texas Panhandles -- including a
   thunderstorm which recently intensified near the New Mexico/Oklahoma
   state line. If this activity can congeal into a larger complex, as
   some high-resolution guidance suggests, then a Severe Thunderstorm
   Watch may be needed over portions of the Texas Panhandle this
   evening for the potential of damaging wind gusts.

   ..Elliott.. 06/14/2019

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   36990447 37130293 36510201 35930127 35030135 34320225
               33730301 31870314 31310319 31110368 31180435 31360478
               32710498 34160508 35970495 36990447 

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