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Mesoscale Discussion 1057
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1057
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0918 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2019

   Areas affected...Portions of eastern New Mexico and West Texas.

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 353...

   Valid 140218Z - 140315Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 353

   SUMMARY...Most of Severe Thunderstorm Watch #353 will likely be
   allowed to expire on time at 03Z, though local extensions in time
   (e.g., an hour or so) are possible where strong convection remains
   near the 03Z expiration time.

   DISCUSSION...General trends in radar/satellite data indicates that
   strong convection is become increasing isolated across WW #353 as
   convective inhibition continues to increase over the area. At 0215Z,
   the strongest storm within SVR WW #353 -- with a history of
   producing large to vary large hail -- was located over portions of
   Union, Harding, and Quay counties in New Mexico. This storm is
   expected to progress eastward out of WW #353 and into WW #354 near
   the 03Z expiration time of WW #353. Isolated strong storms also
   remain farther south over portions of southeastern New Mexico and
   West Texas. Overall trends suggest some weakening with these storms,
   though, isolated large hail and damaging wind gusts remain possible
   over the next hour or so with this activity. 

   While most of WW #353 should be allowed to be expired on time, local
   extensions in time are possible where strong convection remains near
   the 03Z WW expiration time.

   ..Elliott.. 06/14/2019

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   36970397 36990303 32040309 30790345 30720417 30630486
               32000492 35100472 36310419 36970397 

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