Mesoscale Discussion 0169
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1044 PM CST Tue Feb 27 2024

   Areas affected...Lower Michigan

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 27...

   Valid 280444Z - 280645Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 27
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Hail and wind threat continues with convection across
   southern lower Michigan.

   DISCUSSION...Well-organized MCS that progressed across southern Lake
   MI has advanced into lower MI, sustained in part by low-level warm
   advection. MCV has lifted north-northeast to a position about 20 mi
   west-southwest of MKG. While the overall complex is not quite as
   organized, one supercell in particular over eastern Van Buren County
   MI likely remains severe as it tracks east toward Kalamazoo County.
   This southern storm is most likely slightly elevated in nature, and
   forecast soundings suggest the most buoyant parcels are near 1 km
   AGL. Hail/wind remain the primary risks within this warm-advection
   activity. Severe threat will gradually spread northeast across the
   remainder of ww26 over the next several hours.

   ..Darrow.. 02/28/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DTX...IWX...GRR...

   LAT...LON   42958559 42998445 42548379 41768352 41768417 41948497
               41998630 42958559