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Mesoscale Discussion 188
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0188
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0252 AM CST Fri Feb 25 2022

   Areas affected...portions of northern NJ...Long Island and far
   southern NY...and coastal CT

   Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation 

   Valid 250852Z - 251245Z

   SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy freezing rain and sleet will continue
   for a few more hours this morning across northern New Jersey,
   portions of far southern NY and Long Island, and coastal CT.

   DISCUSSION...Moderate to heavy sleet and freezing rain will persist
   across the discussion area for a few more hours early this morning.
   Surface temperatures are generally in the 29-32 F range with the
   freezing line stretching from central NJ to the southern Long Island
   coast. As the surface low positioned over western PA as of 0830z
   lifts northeast and the midlevel shortwave trough continues to eject
   northeast across the Great Lakes vicinity, strong low-level warm
   advection will continue to spread northeast. Surface temperatures
   are expected to increase above the freezing mark in the next few
   hours. As this occurs, a transition from freezing rain and sleet to
   rain is expected across Long Island by 7-8 am ET. Wintry mixed
   precipitation may linger a bit longer (9-10 am ET) across parts of
   northern NJ into far southern CT.

   ..Leitman.. 02/25/2022

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   40627476 40917477 41067462 41247421 41347368 41407228
               41357208 41157213 40967231 40827266 40667335 40557398
               40577465 40627476 

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