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Mesoscale Discussion 210
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0210
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0458 AM CST Sat Mar 09 2024

   Areas affected...Florida Panhandle...extreme southeast
   Alabama...much of southern Georgia

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 33...

   Valid 091058Z - 091430Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 33

   SUMMARY...The risk of brief tornadoes continues over WW 33, and may
   spread across the remainder of southern Georgia this morning.
   Depending on storm trends, a new watch could be needed farther east.

   DISCUSSION...Storms continue to track along an outflow-reinforced
   boundary, from the western FL Panhandle across far southeast AL and
   into southwest GA. Transient/embedded supercells have been noted at
   times within the SW to NE oriented line, with primarily bowing
   structures. Cells continue to move quite rapidly eastward at roughly
   50 kt.

   Surface analysis shows increasing dewpoints into southern GA, where
   pressure falls are focusing. In addition, surface winds are becoming
   gusty at 15-20 kt, indicating boundary-layer mixing and coupling
   with the stronger flow just off the surface. Indeed, area VWPs show
   500 meter winds of 35-40 kt, which is contributing to 0-1 SRH values
   over 300 m2/s2 over GA and into northern parts of the FL Panhandle.

   While MLCAPE is only averaging 500-750 J/kg, the impressive
   kinematic fields, combined with a focused corridor of storms
   suggests increasing potential of a tornado or two. Inflections
   within the line or mesolows will be favored area for brief
   tornadoes. As such, an additional watch may be needed across much of
   southern GA, essentially extending WW 33 east/northeast.

   ..Jewell.. 03/09/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   30348614 30838607 31248541 31558456 31708378 32008311
               32238277 32348216 32198155 31618108 31158155 30758283
               30528465 30348614 

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