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Mesoscale Discussion 212
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0212
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1252 PM CST Sat Mar 09 2024

   Areas affected...North FL into southeast GA

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 34...

   Valid 091852Z - 092015Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 34 continues.

   SUMMARY...Some threat for locally damaging gusts and a tornado or
   two may continue through the afternoon. Local extension of WW 34 may
   be needed.

   DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms with embedded supercell
   structures is ongoing at 1845 UTC from southeast GA into north FL.
   While some gradual veering of low-level flow has been noted with
   time, moderate buoyancy (MLCAPE of 1000-1500 J/kg) and rather strong
   low-level (with 0-1 km SRH of 150-250 m2/s2) and deep-layer shear
   continue to be supportive of organized convection. Occasional
   embedded supercell structures continue to be noted, and some threat
   for a tornado or two may persist through much of the afternoon,
   especially with the supercell currently over Brantley County, GA.
   Otherwise, locally damaging gusts will remain possible with the
   strongest storms, especially in areas where stronger heating and
   steepening of low-level lapse rates have been observed. 

   While an eventual weakening trend is expected as stronger
   large-scale ascent moves away from the region, some severe threat
   will persist beyond the 2 PM EST expiration time of WW 34. As a
   result, local watch extension may be needed to address the threat
   through late afternoon.

   ..Dean/Smith.. 03/09/2024

   ...Please see for graphic product...


   LAT...LON   30128145 29828355 30028400 30408380 30538369 31468191
               31778134 31698121 31108123 30608129 30128145 

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