Mesoscale Discussion 0631
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1151 PM CDT Mon May 02 2022
Areas affected...portions of southeastern Oklahoma and adjacent
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173...
Valid 030451Z - 030615Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173
SUMMARY...Local risk for damaging winds and/or hail continues within
the southeastward-moving line of storms.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a rather well-organized line of
storms advancing southeastward across southeastern Oklahoma and
north Texas, near -- or just behind the front/outflow that continues
progressing just ahead of the convection.
Given that the storms are largely undercut -- and thus slightly
elevated, the risk for damaging winds has decreased, and should
continue to gradually do so overnight. Meanwhile, a few stronger
updrafts continue to exhibit occasional MESH cores suggestive of
severe-caliber hail, including a storm currently crossing Jack
Overall, expect the severe threat to continue to gradually diminish,
with a new WW likely not to be required south of the ongoing WW.
Still, local severe weather may remain possible, at least through
the scheduled 03/07Z scheduled WW expiration.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
LAT...LON 33119865 33469837 33619678 34229521 34529485 34519454
33379451 32959557 32919839 33119865