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    Day 2 Outlook >
Oct 1, 2022 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Click to see valid 1Z - 12Z Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Oct 1 12:42:07 UTC 2022 (Print Version | 20221001 1300Z Day 1 shapefile | 20221001 1300Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 011242

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0742 AM CDT Sat Oct 01 2022

   Valid 011300Z - 021200Z

   ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
   AND EVENING OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN UTAH AND SOUTHWEST COLORADO....

   ...SUMMARY...
   Isolated damaging wind gusts and hail may accompany the stronger
   storms across parts of the Four Corners today.

   ...Southwest States...
   An upper low will remain over eastern ID today, with broad and
   moderately strong cyclonic flow aloft across much of the southwest
   states.  A consensus of CAM solutions show the development of
   scattered afternoon thunderstorms over parts of southern UT, ahead
   of an approaching shortwave trough now over northern NV.  Despite
   dewpoints only in the 40s, strong heating and steep low/mid level
   lapse rates will result in weak but sufficient CAPE for a few
   high-based storms capable of gusty/damaging winds and perhaps hail. 
   This activity will spread eastward into the western CO later today
   before weakening after sunset.

   ..Hart/Mosier.. 10/01/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z

        
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Page last modified: October 01, 2022
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