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    Day 2 Outlook >
Nov 28, 2022 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 28 19:39:37 UTC 2022 (Print Version | 20221128 2000Z Day 1 shapefile | 20221128 2000Z Day 1 KML)
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 Forecast Discussion
   SPC AC 281939

   Day 1 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0139 PM CST Mon Nov 28 2022

   Valid 282000Z - 291200Z

   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

   ...SUMMARY...
   A thunderstorm or two may form around daybreak over parts of east
   Texas and western Louisiana.

   No changes are needed to the ongoing forecast.

   ..Hart.. 11/28/2022

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1003 AM CST Mon Nov 28 2022/

   ...TX/LA...
   An upper trough is forecast to deepen rapidly later today and
   tonight across the southwest states, with low-level warm/moist
   advection strengthening after 06z over east TX.  Forecast soundings
   suggest the mid-level capping inversion will be eroding through the
   overnight period, but it is uncertain whether deep convection will
   commence before or after 12z.  Given the diversity of CAM solutions
   regarding this issue, will add a small thunderstorm forecast area
   for the last hour or two of the period to parts of east TX and
   western LA.  No severe storms are expected until the Day2 period.

   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z

        
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Page last modified: November 28, 2022
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