Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 358
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
115 PM CDT SUN MAY 25 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
A LARGE PART OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS
MUCH OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 115 PM UNTIL 800
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH OF POTEAU
OKLAHOMA TO 60 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF FORT LEONARD WOOD
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 357...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY IN NUMBER AND
INTENSITY ACROSS THE WATCH WHERE THE AIR MASS IS NOW VERY TO
EXTREMELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPES ABOVE 3000 J/KG. THE MCV MOVING
NEWD INTO NERN OK WILL ENHANCE BOTH SHEAR/ASCENT FOR SUPERCELL
POTENTIAL. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE ASSOCIATED
WITH ANY SUPERCELL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25020.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 358 TORNADO AR KS MO OK 251815Z - 260100Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35S RKR/POTEAU OK/ - 60WNW TBN/FORT LEONARD WOOD MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /55SSW FSM - 44N SGF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25020.
LAT...LON 34509594 38069452 38069176 34509330
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 358 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 358
VALID 260030Z - 260140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N HOT TO
30 WNW RUE TO 25 NNE FSM TO 15 NE FYV TO 15 SSW HRO TO 15 W FLP
TO 30 W UNO TO 20 SSW TBN TO 25 WNW TBN TO 50 SE SZL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1032.
..EDWARDS..05/26/08
ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 358
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC071-087-089-101-115-129-149-260140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JOHNSON MADISON MARION
NEWTON POPE SEARCY
YELL
$$
MOC029-125-131-153-161-169-215-260140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMDEN MARIES MILLER
OZARK PHELPS PULASKI
TEXAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 358
VALID 252240Z - 252340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S RUE TO
25 NW HOT TO 40 ESE RKR TO 20 SSE RKR TO 5 WNW FSM TO 30 ESE MKO
TO 25 NNE MKO TO 25 NW GMJ.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION FORTHCOMING.
..EDWARDS..05/25/08
ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 358
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-089-101-115-127-129-131-143-
149-252340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BOONE CARROLL
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON
LOGAN MADISON MARION
NEWTON POPE SCOTT
SEARCY SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
YELL
$$
KSC021-252340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE
$$
MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-067-077-085-097-105-109-119-
125-131-141-145-153-161-167-169-185-209-213-215-217-225-229-
252340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BENTON
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON OZARK PHELPS
POLK PULASKI ST. CLAIR
STONE TANEY TEXAS
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-041-115-135-252340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE DELAWARE
OTTAWA SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 358
VALID 252125Z - 252240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/25/08
ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 358
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-089-101-115-127-129-131-143-
149-252240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BOONE CARROLL
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON
LOGAN MADISON MARION
NEWTON POPE SCOTT
SEARCY SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
YELL
$$
KSC021-252240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE
$$
MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-067-077-085-097-105-109-119-
125-131-141-145-153-161-167-169-185-209-213-215-217-225-229-
252240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BENTON
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON OZARK PHELPS
POLK PULASKI ST. CLAIR
STONE TANEY TEXAS
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-041-061-077-079-091-101-115-121-135-252240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE DELAWARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MUSKOGEE OTTAWA
PITTSBURG SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 358
VALID 252030Z - 252140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/25/08
ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 358
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-089-101-115-127-129-131-143-
149-252140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BOONE CARROLL
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON
LOGAN MADISON MARION
NEWTON POPE SCOTT
SEARCY SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
YELL
$$
KSC021-252140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE
$$
MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-067-077-085-097-105-109-119-
125-131-141-145-153-161-167-169-185-209-213-215-217-225-229-
252140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BENTON
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON OZARK PHELPS
POLK PULASKI ST. CLAIR
STONE TANEY TEXAS
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-041-061-077-079-091-101-115-121-135-252140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE DELAWARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MUSKOGEE OTTAWA
PITTSBURG SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 358
VALID 251930Z - 252040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/25/08
ATTN...WFO...TSA...LZK...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 358
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-009-015-033-047-071-083-087-089-101-115-127-129-131-143-
149-252040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BOONE CARROLL
CRAWFORD FRANKLIN JOHNSON
LOGAN MADISON MARION
NEWTON POPE SCOTT
SEARCY SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON
YELL
$$
KSC021-252040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE
$$
MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-067-077-085-097-105-109-119-
125-131-141-145-153-161-167-169-185-209-213-215-217-225-229-
252040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BENTON
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
DADE DALLAS DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON OZARK PHELPS
POLK PULASKI ST. CLAIR
STONE TANEY TEXAS
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-041-061-077-079-091-101-115-121-135-252040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE DELAWARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCINTOSH MUSKOGEE OTTAWA
PITTSBURG SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.