Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 359
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
205 PM CDT SUN MAY 25 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF NORTHERN IOWA
MUCH OF SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
MUCH OF WESTERN WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 205 PM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
FAIRMONT MINNESOTA TO 50 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF LA CROSSE
WISCONSIN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 357...WW 358...
DISCUSSION...RAPIDLY DESTABILIZATION AIR MASS AHEAD OF COLD FRONT
ALONG WITH STRONG MID/UPPER JET PROVIDING PARAMETERS FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THE E/W BOUNDARY FROM EARLIER CONVECTION
WILL ENHANCE SHEAR PROFILES AND TORNADIC SUPERCELL POTENTIAL. THERE
IS THE THREAT FOR LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS TO DEVELOP WITH ASSOCIATED
STRONG TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 359 TORNADO IA MN WI 251905Z - 260200Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35NNW FRM/FAIRMONT MN/ - 50ENE LSE/LA CROSSE WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM N/S /28SE RWF - 44NNW DLL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 45349469 45389031 42919031 42889469
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 359 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 359
VALID 252355Z - 260040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE SPW
TO 35 W RST TO 35 NE STC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1031
..HURLBUT..05/25/08
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 359
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-033-037-043-063-065-067-081-089-109-131-147-189-191-195-
260040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW
CLAYTON EMMET FAYETTE
FLOYD HANCOCK HOWARD
KOSSUTH MITCHELL PALO ALTO
WINNEBAGO WINNESHIEK WORTH
$$
MNC003-025-039-045-055-059-099-109-123-157-163-169-260040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA CHISAGO DODGE
FILLMORE HOUSTON ISANTI
MOWER OLMSTED RAMSEY
WABASHA WASHINGTON WINONA
$$
WIC005-011-017-019-023-033-035-043-053-063-081-091-093-095-103-
107-109-119-121-123-260040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK CRAWFORD DUNN
EAU CLAIRE GRANT JACKSON
LA CROSSE MONROE PEPIN
PIERCE POLK RICHLAND
RUSK ST. CROIX TAYLOR
TREMPEALEAU VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 359
VALID 252315Z - 260040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/25/08
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 359
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-033-037-043-063-065-067-081-089-109-131-147-189-191-195-
260040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW
CLAYTON EMMET FAYETTE
FLOYD HANCOCK HOWARD
KOSSUTH MITCHELL PALO ALTO
WINNEBAGO WINNESHIEK WORTH
$$
MNC003-013-015-019-025-037-039-043-045-047-049-053-055-059-067-
079-085-091-093-099-103-109-123-129-131-139-141-143-147-157-161-
163-165-169-171-260040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARVER CHISAGO DAKOTA
DODGE FARIBAULT FILLMORE
FREEBORN GOODHUE HENNEPIN
HOUSTON ISANTI KANDIYOHI
LE SUEUR MCLEOD MARTIN
MEEKER MOWER NICOLLET
OLMSTED RAMSEY RENVILLE
RICE SCOTT SHERBURNE
SIBLEY STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
WINONA WRIGHT
$$
WIC005-011-017-019-023-033-035-043-053-063-081-091-093-095-103-
107-109-119-121-123-260040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK CRAWFORD DUNN
EAU CLAIRE GRANT JACKSON
LA CROSSE MONROE PEPIN
PIERCE POLK RICHLAND
RUSK ST. CROIX TAYLOR
TREMPEALEAU VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 359
VALID 252120Z - 252240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/25/08
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 359
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-033-037-043-063-065-067-081-089-109-131-147-189-191-195-
252240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW
CLAYTON EMMET FAYETTE
FLOYD HANCOCK HOWARD
KOSSUTH MITCHELL PALO ALTO
WINNEBAGO WINNESHIEK WORTH
$$
MNC003-013-015-019-025-037-039-043-045-047-049-053-055-059-067-
079-085-091-093-099-103-109-123-129-131-139-141-143-147-157-161-
163-165-169-171-252240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARVER CHISAGO DAKOTA
DODGE FARIBAULT FILLMORE
FREEBORN GOODHUE HENNEPIN
HOUSTON ISANTI KANDIYOHI
LE SUEUR MCLEOD MARTIN
MEEKER MOWER NICOLLET
OLMSTED RAMSEY RENVILLE
RICE SCOTT SHERBURNE
SIBLEY STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
WINONA WRIGHT
$$
WIC005-011-017-019-023-033-035-043-053-063-081-091-093-095-103-
107-109-119-121-123-252240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK CRAWFORD DUNN
EAU CLAIRE GRANT JACKSON
LA CROSSE MONROE PEPIN
PIERCE POLK RICHLAND
RUSK ST. CROIX TAYLOR
TREMPEALEAU VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 359
VALID 252030Z - 252140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/25/08
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DMX...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 359
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-033-037-043-063-065-067-081-089-109-131-147-189-191-195-
252140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW
CLAYTON EMMET FAYETTE
FLOYD HANCOCK HOWARD
KOSSUTH MITCHELL PALO ALTO
WINNEBAGO WINNESHIEK WORTH
$$
MNC003-013-015-019-025-037-039-043-045-047-049-053-055-059-067-
079-085-091-093-099-103-109-123-129-131-139-141-143-147-157-161-
163-165-169-171-252140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARVER CHISAGO DAKOTA
DODGE FARIBAULT FILLMORE
FREEBORN GOODHUE HENNEPIN
HOUSTON ISANTI KANDIYOHI
LE SUEUR MCLEOD MARTIN
MEEKER MOWER NICOLLET
OLMSTED RAMSEY RENVILLE
RICE SCOTT SHERBURNE
SIBLEY STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
WINONA WRIGHT
$$
WIC005-011-017-019-023-033-035-043-053-063-081-091-093-095-103-
107-109-119-121-123-252140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK CRAWFORD DUNN
EAU CLAIRE GRANT JACKSON
LA CROSSE MONROE PEPIN
PIERCE POLK RICHLAND
RUSK ST. CROIX TAYLOR
TREMPEALEAU VERNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.