Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 423
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
515 PM CDT FRI JUN 3 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 515 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
EAU CLAIRE WISCONSIN TO 30 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF GREEN BAY
WISCONSIN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...STORM INITIATION HAS RECENTLY OCCURRED WSW EAU ON THE
NRN EDGE OF LOW-LEVEL THERMAL AXIS WHERE TEMPERATURES HAS WARMED
INTO THE LOW/MID 90S. OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A CAP EXISTS
ACROSS DOWNSTREAM WARM SECTOR...THOUGH IT APPEARS THAT THE STRONG
DIABATIC HEATING MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO SUSTAIN ISOLATED STORMS PRIOR
TO 00Z. AMBIENT ENVIRONMENT IS RATHER MOIST WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE
MID/UPPER 60S...RESULTING IN MLCAPE OF 2500-3500 J/KG. AREA
PROFILER/VWP DATA INDICATE VERTICALLY VEERING WIND PROFILES WITH
SUFFICIENT LOW AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 423 TORNADO WI 032215Z - 040500Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20WSW EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/ - 30ENE GRB/GREEN BAY WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /18WSW EAU - 27E GRB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 45709186 45598756 43708756 43819186
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 423 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 423
VALID 040415Z - 040500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W RHI TO
5 SSW CWA TO 20 WSW EAU.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 423 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
04/05Z.
..KERR..06/04/11
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DLH...MPX...GRB...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 423
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC003-005-007-017-033-035-051-091-099-107-113-040500-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BAYFIELD
CHIPPEWA DUNN EAU CLAIRE
IRON PEPIN PRICE
RUSK SAWYER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 423
VALID 040345Z - 040440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE MTW
TO 45 NNE RST.
..COHEN..06/04/11
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DLH...MPX...GRB...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 423
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC003-005-007-017-019-033-035-037-041-051-067-069-073-075-078-
083-085-091-099-107-113-115-119-125-040440-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BAYFIELD
CHIPPEWA CLARK DUNN
EAU CLAIRE FLORENCE FOREST
IRON LANGLADE LINCOLN
MARATHON MARINETTE MENOMINEE
OCONTO ONEIDA PEPIN
PRICE RUSK SAWYER
SHAWANO TAYLOR VILAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 423
VALID 040235Z - 040340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW OSH TO
35 NNW VOK TO 35 NNE RST.
..COHEN..06/04/11
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DLH...MPX...GRB...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 423
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC003-005-007-017-019-033-035-037-041-051-067-069-073-075-078-
083-085-091-097-099-107-113-115-119-125-135-137-141-040340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BAYFIELD
CHIPPEWA CLARK DUNN
EAU CLAIRE FLORENCE FOREST
IRON LANGLADE LINCOLN
MARATHON MARINETTE MENOMINEE
OCONTO ONEIDA PEPIN
PORTAGE PRICE RUSK
SAWYER SHAWANO TAYLOR
VILAS WAUPACA WAUSHARA
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 423
VALID 040140Z - 040240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE VOK
TO 25 NW VOK TO 25 NE RST.
..COHEN..06/04/11
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DLH...MPX...GRB...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 423
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC003-005-007-017-019-033-035-037-041-051-067-069-073-075-078-
083-085-091-097-099-107-113-115-119-125-135-137-141-040240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BAYFIELD
CHIPPEWA CLARK DUNN
EAU CLAIRE FLORENCE FOREST
IRON LANGLADE LINCOLN
MARATHON MARINETTE MENOMINEE
OCONTO ONEIDA PEPIN
PORTAGE PRICE RUSK
SAWYER SHAWANO TAYLOR
VILAS WAUPACA WAUSHARA
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 423
VALID 040030Z - 040140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..06/04/11
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DLH...MPX...GRB...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 423
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC001-003-005-007-011-017-019-033-035-037-041-047-051-053-057-
063-067-069-073-075-077-078-081-083-085-091-097-099-107-113-115-
119-121-125-135-137-141-040140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ASHLAND BARRON
BAYFIELD BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK DUNN EAU CLAIRE
FLORENCE FOREST GREEN LAKE
IRON JACKSON JUNEAU
LA CROSSE LANGLADE LINCOLN
MARATHON MARINETTE MARQUETTE
MENOMINEE MONROE OCONTO
ONEIDA PEPIN PORTAGE
PRICE RUSK SAWYER
SHAWANO TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
VILAS WAUPACA WAUSHARA
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 423
VALID 032335Z - 040040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..06/03/11
ATTN...WFO...ARX...DLH...MPX...GRB...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 423
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC001-003-005-007-011-017-019-033-035-037-041-047-051-053-057-
063-067-069-073-075-077-078-081-083-085-091-097-099-107-113-115-
119-121-125-135-137-141-040040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ASHLAND BARRON
BAYFIELD BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK DUNN EAU CLAIRE
FLORENCE FOREST GREEN LAKE
IRON JACKSON JUNEAU
LA CROSSE LANGLADE LINCOLN
MARATHON MARINETTE MARQUETTE
MENOMINEE MONROE OCONTO
ONEIDA PEPIN PORTAGE
PRICE RUSK SAWYER
SHAWANO TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
VILAS WAUPACA WAUSHARA
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.