Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 123
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
935 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN ILLINOIS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN INDIANA
SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NORTHWEST OHIO OHIO
LAKE MICHIGAN
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 935 AM UNTIL
500 PM EDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
SEVERAL SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
SOUTH BEND INDIANA TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF TERRE HAUTE
INDIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 122...
DISCUSSION...DISCRETE SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE
INTENSIFYING PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE THAT WILL RAPIDLY MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS MORNING. GIVEN THE
STRENGTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...A FEW TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE...BOTH IN SUPERCELLS AND WITHIN MESO VORTICES EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE LINE. ACTIVITY MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG TO
LOCALLY EXTREME WIND DAMAGE...REGARDLESS OF WHETHER TORNADIC OR
STRAIGHT LINE IN NATURE,
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
...KERR
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 123
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
935 AM EDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN ILLINOIS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN INDIANA
SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NORTHWEST OHIO OHIO
LAKE MICHIGAN
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 935 AM UNTIL
500 PM EDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
SEVERAL SIGNIFICANT DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
SOUTH BEND INDIANA TO 60 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF TERRE HAUTE
INDIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 122...
DISCUSSION...DISCRETE SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE
INTENSIFYING PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE THAT WILL RAPIDLY MOVE
NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS MORNING. GIVEN THE
STRENGTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...A FEW TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE...BOTH IN SUPERCELLS AND WITHIN MESO VORTICES EMBEDDED
WITHIN THE LINE. ACTIVITY MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG TO
LOCALLY EXTREME WIND DAMAGE...REGARDLESS OF WHETHER TORNADIC OR
STRAIGHT LINE IN NATURE,
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
...KERR
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 123 TORNADO IL IN MI OH LM 181335Z - 182100Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
65ENE SBN/SOUTH BEND IN/ - 60SSW HUF/TERRE HAUTE IN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /47SSE GRR - 43N PXV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
LAT...LON 42048369 38638636 38638913 42048661
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 123 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 123
VALID 181840Z - 181940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW MTO
TO 15 NNE HUF TO 20 WNW MIE TO 20 SW ARB.
..MARSH..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 123
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC023-025-033-035-049-079-101-159-181940-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CLAY CRAWFORD
CUMBERLAND EFFINGHAM JASPER
LAWRENCE RICHLAND
$$
INC001-005-009-011-013-021-027-031-035-053-055-057-059-063-065-
071-075-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-105-109-119-133-135-139-145-
153-159-167-179-181940-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BARTHOLOMEW BLACKFORD
BOONE BROWN CLAY
DAVIESS DECATUR DELAWARE
GRANT GREENE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HENDRICKS HENRY
JACKSON JAY JENNINGS
JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE
MADISON MARION MARTIN
MONROE MORGAN OWEN
PUTNAM RANDOLPH RUSH
SHELBY SULLIVAN TIPTON
VIGO WELLS
$$
OHC003-039-051-069-125-137-161-181940-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DEFIANCE FULTON
HENRY PAULDING PUTNAM
VAN WERT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 123
VALID 181739Z - 181840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW MTO
TO 25 S DNV TO 35 WSW FWA TO 10 S JXN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 521.
..EDWARDS..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 123
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC023-025-033-035-049-079-101-159-181840-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CLAY CRAWFORD
CUMBERLAND EFFINGHAM JASPER
LAWRENCE RICHLAND
$$
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-021-023-027-031-033-035-053-055-057-
059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-103-105-
109-119-133-135-139-145-151-153-159-167-169-179-183-181840-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DECATUR DE KALB DELAWARE
GRANT GREENE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HENDRICKS HENRY
HOWARD HUNTINGTON JACKSON
JAY JENNINGS JOHNSON
KNOX LAWRENCE MADISON
MARION MARTIN MIAMI
MONROE MORGAN OWEN
PUTNAM RANDOLPH RUSH
SHELBY STEUBEN SULLIVAN
TIPTON VIGO WABASH
WELLS WHITLEY
$$
MIC059-181840-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HILLSDALE
$$
OHC003-039-051-069-125-137-161-171-181840-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DEFIANCE FULTON
HENRY PAULDING PUTNAM
VAN WERT WILLIAMS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 123
VALID 181630Z - 181740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW MTO TO
25 S DNV TO 50 S SBN TO 15 SE AZO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 521.
..EDWARDS..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 123
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC023-025-033-035-049-079-101-159-181740-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CLAY CRAWFORD
CUMBERLAND EFFINGHAM JASPER
LAWRENCE RICHLAND
$$
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-017-021-023-027-031-033-035-053-055-
057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-085-087-093-095-097-
101-103-105-107-109-113-119-121-133-135-139-145-151-153-159-167-
169-179-183-181740-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CASS CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DECATUR DE KALB
DELAWARE GRANT GREENE
HAMILTON HANCOCK HENDRICKS
HENRY HOWARD HUNTINGTON
JACKSON JAY JENNINGS
JOHNSON KNOX KOSCIUSKO
LAGRANGE LAWRENCE MADISON
MARION MARTIN MIAMI
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
NOBLE OWEN PARKE
PUTNAM RANDOLPH RUSH
SHELBY STEUBEN SULLIVAN
TIPTON VIGO WABASH
WELLS WHITLEY
$$
MIC023-059-181740-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANCH HILLSDALE
$$
OHC003-039-051-069-125-137-161-171-181740-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DEFIANCE FULTON
HENRY PAULDING PUTNAM
VAN WERT WILLIAMS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 123
VALID 181525Z - 181640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW MTO TO
15 NW LAF TO 30 S SBN TO 15 ESE BEH.
..EDWARDS..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 123
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC023-025-029-033-035-045-049-079-101-159-181640-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CLAY COLES
CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND EDGAR
EFFINGHAM JASPER LAWRENCE
RICHLAND
$$
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-031-033-035-039-
045-049-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-085-
087-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-113-119-121-131-133-135-
139-141-145-151-153-157-159-165-167-169-179-181-183-181640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DECATUR
DE KALB DELAWARE ELKHART
FOUNTAIN FULTON GRANT
GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD
HUNTINGTON JACKSON JAY
JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LAWRENCE
MADISON MARION MARSHALL
MARTIN MIAMI MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN NOBLE
OWEN PARKE PULASKI
PUTNAM RANDOLPH RUSH
ST. JOSEPH SHELBY STEUBEN
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON
VERMILLION VIGO WABASH
WELLS WHITE WHITLEY
$$
MIC023-027-059-149-181640-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANCH CASS HILLSDALE
ST. JOSEPH
$$
OHC003-039-051-069-125-137-161-171-181640-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DEFIANCE FULTON
HENRY PAULDING PUTNAM
VAN WERT WILLIAMS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 123
VALID 181431Z - 181540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW MTO TO
25 SE CMI TO 30 NNW LAF TO 20 NNE VPZ.
..EDWARDS..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...LOT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 123
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC023-025-029-033-035-045-049-079-101-159-183-181540-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CLAY COLES
CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND EDGAR
EFFINGHAM JASPER LAWRENCE
RICHLAND VERMILION
$$
INC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-021-023-027-031-033-035-
039-045-049-053-055-057-059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-
085-087-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-113-119-121-131-
133-135-139-141-145-149-151-153-157-159-165-167-169-171-179-181-
183-181540-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BENTON BLACKFORD BOONE
BROWN CARROLL CASS
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DECATUR DE KALB DELAWARE
ELKHART FOUNTAIN FULTON
GRANT GREENE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HENDRICKS HENRY
HOWARD HUNTINGTON JACKSON
JAY JENNINGS JOHNSON
KNOX KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE
LA PORTE LAWRENCE MADISON
MARION MARSHALL MARTIN
MIAMI MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NOBLE OWEN
PARKE PULASKI PUTNAM
RANDOLPH RUSH ST. JOSEPH
SHELBY STARKE STEUBEN
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON
VERMILLION VIGO WABASH
WARREN WELLS WHITE
WHITLEY
$$
MIC021-023-027-059-149-181540-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN BRANCH CASS
HILLSDALE ST. JOSEPH
$$
OHC003-039-051-069-125-137-161-171-181540-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DEFIANCE FULTON
HENRY PAULDING PUTNAM
VAN WERT WILLIAMS
$$
LMZ043-046-181540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.