Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 443
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
315 PM EDT SUN JUL 19 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK
NORTHERN AND EASTERN OHIO
WESTERN AND NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA
THE NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE
LAKE ERIE
LAKE ONTARIO
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 315 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SEVERAL AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS...POTENTIALLY INCLUDING A
FEW SUPERCELLS IN NY AND NRN PA...EXPECTED TO MOVE/DEVELOP GENERALLY
WEST-TO-EAST ACROSS WATCH AREA THROUGH LATE EVENING. THE STORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WIND...HAIL...AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO
AS THEY ORGANIZE INTO SHORT LINES AND CLUSTERS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES WEST OF
MANSFIELD OHIO TO 20 MILES EAST OF UTICA NEW YORK. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 442...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 443 SEVERE TSTM NY OH PA WV LE LO 191915Z - 200300Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20W MFD/MANSFIELD OH/ - 20E UCA/UTICA NY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM N/S /43NNW APE - 53E SYR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
LAT...LON 42048290 44387498 41917498 39598290
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 443 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 443
VALID 200045Z - 200140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N CMH TO
30 NW ZZV TO 20 ENE YNG TO 15 SE JHW TO 45 ENE BFD TO 25 WSW SYR
TO 35 NNE UCA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1489
..DIAL..07/20/15
ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...CLE...PBZ...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC007-011-015-017-023-025-045-053-065-067-077-097-099-101-105-
107-109-123-200140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOME CAYUGA CHEMUNG
CHENANGO CORTLAND DELAWARE
JEFFERSON MADISON ONEIDA
ONONDAGA OTSEGO SCHUYLER
SENECA STEUBEN SULLIVAN
TIOGA TOMPKINS YATES
$$
OHC013-019-029-031-059-067-081-119-157-200140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA
COSHOCTON GUERNSEY HARRISON
JEFFERSON MUSKINGUM TUSCARAWAS
$$
PAC003-005-007-015-019-023-027-031-033-035-037-047-053-063-065-
069-073-079-081-083-085-093-097-103-105-113-115-117-119-121-123-
125-127-129-131-200140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BRADFORD BUTLER CAMERON
CENTRE CLARION CLEARFIELD
CLINTON COLUMBIA ELK
FOREST INDIANA JEFFERSON
LACKAWANNA LAWRENCE LUZERNE
LYCOMING MCKEAN MERCER
MONTOUR NORTHUMBERLAND PIKE
POTTER SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA
TIOGA UNION VENANGO
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WESTMORELAND WYOMING
$$
WVC009-029-069-200140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKE HANCOCK OHIO
$$
SLZ024-200140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 443
VALID 192350Z - 200040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..07/19/15
ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...CLE...PBZ...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC003-007-009-011-013-015-017-023-025-029-037-045-049-051-053-
055-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-097-099-101-105-107-109-117-121-
123-200040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY BROOME CATTARAUGUS
CAYUGA CHAUTAUQUA CHEMUNG
CHENANGO CORTLAND DELAWARE
ERIE GENESEE JEFFERSON
LEWIS LIVINGSTON MADISON
MONROE NIAGARA ONEIDA
ONONDAGA ONTARIO ORLEANS
OSWEGO OTSEGO SCHUYLER
SENECA STEUBEN SULLIVAN
TIOGA TOMPKINS WAYNE
WYOMING YATES
$$
OHC005-007-013-019-029-031-033-035-043-055-059-067-075-077-081-
083-085-093-099-101-103-117-119-133-139-143-147-151-153-155-157-
169-175-200040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND ASHTABULA BELMONT
CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON
CRAWFORD CUYAHOGA ERIE
GEAUGA GUERNSEY HARRISON
HOLMES HURON JEFFERSON
KNOX LAKE LORAIN
MAHONING MARION MEDINA
MORROW MUSKINGUM PORTAGE
RICHLAND SANDUSKY SENECA
STARK SUMMIT TRUMBULL
TUSCARAWAS WAYNE WYANDOT
$$
PAC003-005-007-015-019-023-027-031-033-035-037-039-047-049-053-
063-065-069-073-079-081-083-085-093-097-103-105-113-115-117-119-
121-123-125-127-129-131-200040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BRADFORD BUTLER CAMERON
CENTRE CLARION CLEARFIELD
CLINTON COLUMBIA CRAWFORD
ELK ERIE FOREST
INDIANA JEFFERSON LACKAWANNA
LAWRENCE LUZERNE LYCOMING
MCKEAN MERCER MONTOUR
NORTHUMBERLAND PIKE POTTER
SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA TIOGA
UNION VENANGO WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE WESTMORELAND
WYOMING
$$
WVC009-029-069-200040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKE HANCOCK OHIO
$$
LEZ020-040-041-061-144-145-146-147-148-149-164-165-166-167-168-
169-LOZ030-042-043-044-045-062-063-064-065-SLZ022-024-200040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER
NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY
HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR
RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK NY
DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO NY
RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY EXTENDING FROM 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN
BORDER
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 443
VALID 192240Z - 192340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..07/19/15
ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...CLE...PBZ...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC003-007-009-011-013-015-017-023-025-029-037-045-049-051-053-
055-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-097-099-101-105-107-109-117-121-
123-192340-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY BROOME CATTARAUGUS
CAYUGA CHAUTAUQUA CHEMUNG
CHENANGO CORTLAND DELAWARE
ERIE GENESEE JEFFERSON
LEWIS LIVINGSTON MADISON
MONROE NIAGARA ONEIDA
ONONDAGA ONTARIO ORLEANS
OSWEGO OTSEGO SCHUYLER
SENECA STEUBEN SULLIVAN
TIOGA TOMPKINS WAYNE
WYOMING YATES
$$
OHC005-007-013-019-029-031-033-035-043-055-059-067-075-077-081-
083-085-093-099-101-103-117-119-133-139-143-147-151-153-155-157-
169-175-192340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND ASHTABULA BELMONT
CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON
CRAWFORD CUYAHOGA ERIE
GEAUGA GUERNSEY HARRISON
HOLMES HURON JEFFERSON
KNOX LAKE LORAIN
MAHONING MARION MEDINA
MORROW MUSKINGUM PORTAGE
RICHLAND SANDUSKY SENECA
STARK SUMMIT TRUMBULL
TUSCARAWAS WAYNE WYANDOT
$$
PAC003-005-007-015-019-023-027-031-033-035-037-039-047-049-053-
063-065-069-073-079-081-083-085-093-097-103-105-113-115-117-119-
121-123-125-127-129-131-192340-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BRADFORD BUTLER CAMERON
CENTRE CLARION CLEARFIELD
CLINTON COLUMBIA CRAWFORD
ELK ERIE FOREST
INDIANA JEFFERSON LACKAWANNA
LAWRENCE LUZERNE LYCOMING
MCKEAN MERCER MONTOUR
NORTHUMBERLAND PIKE POTTER
SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA TIOGA
UNION VENANGO WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE WESTMORELAND
WYOMING
$$
WVC009-029-069-192340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKE HANCOCK OHIO
$$
LEZ020-040-041-061-144-145-146-147-148-149-164-165-166-167-168-
169-LOZ030-042-043-044-045-062-063-064-065-SLZ022-024-192340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER
NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY
HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR
RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK NY
DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO NY
RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY EXTENDING FROM 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN
BORDER
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 443
VALID 192035Z - 192140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..07/19/15
ATTN...WFO...BUF...BGM...CLE...PBZ...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC003-007-009-011-013-015-017-023-025-029-037-045-049-051-053-
055-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-097-099-101-105-107-109-117-121-
123-192140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGANY BROOME CATTARAUGUS
CAYUGA CHAUTAUQUA CHEMUNG
CHENANGO CORTLAND DELAWARE
ERIE GENESEE JEFFERSON
LEWIS LIVINGSTON MADISON
MONROE NIAGARA ONEIDA
ONONDAGA ONTARIO ORLEANS
OSWEGO OTSEGO SCHUYLER
SENECA STEUBEN SULLIVAN
TIOGA TOMPKINS WAYNE
WYOMING YATES
$$
OHC005-007-013-019-029-031-033-035-043-055-059-067-075-077-081-
083-085-093-099-101-103-117-119-133-139-143-147-151-153-155-157-
169-175-192140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND ASHTABULA BELMONT
CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON
CRAWFORD CUYAHOGA ERIE
GEAUGA GUERNSEY HARRISON
HOLMES HURON JEFFERSON
KNOX LAKE LORAIN
MAHONING MARION MEDINA
MORROW MUSKINGUM PORTAGE
RICHLAND SANDUSKY SENECA
STARK SUMMIT TRUMBULL
TUSCARAWAS WAYNE WYANDOT
$$
PAC003-005-007-015-019-023-027-031-033-035-037-039-047-049-053-
063-065-069-073-079-081-083-085-093-097-103-105-113-115-117-119-
121-123-125-127-129-131-192140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BRADFORD BUTLER CAMERON
CENTRE CLARION CLEARFIELD
CLINTON COLUMBIA CRAWFORD
ELK ERIE FOREST
INDIANA JEFFERSON LACKAWANNA
LAWRENCE LUZERNE LYCOMING
MCKEAN MERCER MONTOUR
NORTHUMBERLAND PIKE POTTER
SULLIVAN SUSQUEHANNA TIOGA
UNION VENANGO WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE WESTMORELAND
WYOMING
$$
WVC009-029-069-192140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKE HANCOCK OHIO
$$
LEZ020-040-041-061-144-145-146-147-148-149-164-165-166-167-168-
169-LOZ030-042-043-044-045-062-063-064-065-SLZ022-024-192140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER
NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY
HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER
NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY NY BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
MEXICO BAY NY TO THE ST. LAWRENCE RIVER BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE
TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR
RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK NY
DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO NY
RIPLEY TO BUFFALO NY EXTENDING FROM 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN
BORDER
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER ABOVE OGDENSBURG NY
ST. LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO ST. REGIS NY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.