Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 286
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
650 PM CDT Thu Jul 19 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
parts of western and central Illinois
portions of northeast and east central Missouri
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 650 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of strong/severe storms will continue shifting
southeast out of Iowa and into northwest Missouri/west-central
Illinois over the next few hours -- and possibly continuing into
central Illinois later this evening. Damaging winds will likely be
the primary severe risk, though hail may also occur over the next
couple of hours. A tornado or two will also be possible --
particularly in the next 1-2 hours over western portions of the
watch.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles west northwest
of Quincy IL to 30 miles north northeast of Salem IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 283...WW 284...WW 285...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30030.
...Goss
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 286
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
650 PM CDT Thu Jul 19 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
parts of western and central Illinois
portions of northeast and east central Missouri
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 650 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of strong/severe storms will continue shifting
southeast out of Iowa and into northwest Missouri/west-central
Illinois over the next few hours -- and possibly continuing into
central Illinois later this evening. Damaging winds will likely be
the primary severe risk, though hail may also occur over the next
couple of hours. A tornado or two will also be possible --
particularly in the next 1-2 hours over western portions of the
watch.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles west northwest
of Quincy IL to 30 miles north northeast of Salem IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 283...WW 284...WW 285...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30030.
...Goss
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 286 SEVERE TSTM IL MO 192350Z - 200700Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15WNW UIN/QUINCY IL/ - 30NNE SLO/SALEM IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /14NW UIN - 42S AXC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30030.
LAT...LON 40759145 39778876 38338876 39319145
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 286 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 286
VALID 200540Z - 200640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW SLO
TO 25 SSE DEC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1095.
..PETERS..07/20/18
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...DVN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 286
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC025-027-035-049-051-079-121-159-173-189-200640-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLINTON CUMBERLAND
EFFINGHAM FAYETTE JASPER
MARION RICHLAND SHELBY
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 286
VALID 200425Z - 200540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW STL TO
5 W ALN TO 25 NNE ALN TO 25 SE SPI TO 20 WSW DEC TO 15 SE DEC.
..JEWELL..07/20/18
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...DVN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 286
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC005-021-027-051-117-119-121-135-163-173-189-200540-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOND CHRISTIAN CLINTON
FAYETTE MACOUPIN MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY ST. CLAIR
SHELBY WASHINGTON
$$
MOC189-510-200540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 286
VALID 200350Z - 200440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ENE COU
TO 15 ENE UIN TO 40 W SPI TO 10 ESE SPI TO 20 NNW MTO.
..JEWELL..07/20/18
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...DVN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 286
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC005-009-013-021-027-051-061-083-117-119-121-135-137-149-163-
167-171-173-189-200440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOND BROWN CALHOUN
CHRISTIAN CLINTON FAYETTE
GREENE JERSEY MACOUPIN
MADISON MARION MONTGOMERY
MORGAN PIKE ST. CLAIR
SANGAMON SCOTT SHELBY
WASHINGTON
$$
MOC113-183-189-510-200440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LINCOLN ST. CHARLES ST. LOUIS
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 286
VALID 200300Z - 200440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW UIN TO
20 ESE BRL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1093
..BENTLEY..07/20/18
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...DVN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 286
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-005-009-013-017-021-027-051-057-061-083-117-119-121-125-
129-135-137-149-163-167-169-171-173-189-200440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOND BROWN
CALHOUN CASS CHRISTIAN
CLINTON FAYETTE FULTON
GREENE JERSEY MACOUPIN
MADISON MARION MASON
MENARD MONTGOMERY MORGAN
PIKE ST. CLAIR SANGAMON
SCHUYLER SCOTT SHELBY
WASHINGTON
$$
MOC113-163-183-189-510-200440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LINCOLN PIKE ST. CHARLES
ST. LOUIS
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 286
VALID 200140Z - 200240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BENTLEY..07/20/18
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...DVN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 286
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-005-009-013-017-021-027-051-057-061-067-083-109-117-119-
121-125-129-135-137-149-167-169-171-173-200240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOND BROWN
CALHOUN CASS CHRISTIAN
CLINTON FAYETTE FULTON
GREENE HANCOCK JERSEY
MCDONOUGH MACOUPIN MADISON
MARION MASON MENARD
MONTGOMERY MORGAN PIKE
SANGAMON SCHUYLER SCOTT
SHELBY
$$
MOC103-111-113-127-163-173-205-200240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KNOX LEWIS LINCOLN
MARION PIKE RALLS
SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.