Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 204
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CDT Tue May 9 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Kansas
Far Southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Tuesday morning and evening from 1030 AM until
600 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...An increasingly organized cluster of storms across
north-central Kansas and far south-central Nebraska as of 1030am CDT
will continue to spread east-southeastward through late morning into
afternoon, with some additional expansion of new storms on its
southern flank across central Kansas. Damaging winds will be an
increasingly prevalent concern with these storms, aside from large
hail and some/brief tornado risk with embedded circulations.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Salina KS to 35 miles south southeast of Topeka KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 203...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31025.
...Guyer
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 204
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1030 AM CDT Tue May 9 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Kansas
Far Southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Tuesday morning and evening from 1030 AM until
600 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...An increasingly organized cluster of storms across
north-central Kansas and far south-central Nebraska as of 1030am CDT
will continue to spread east-southeastward through late morning into
afternoon, with some additional expansion of new storms on its
southern flank across central Kansas. Damaging winds will be an
increasingly prevalent concern with these storms, aside from large
hail and some/brief tornado risk with embedded circulations.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Salina KS to 35 miles south southeast of Topeka KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 203...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 204 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 091530Z - 092300Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30NW SLN/SALINA KS/ - 35SSE TOP/TOPEKA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM N/S /22WNW SLN - 46WNW BUM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31025.
LAT...LON 40339805 39839537 37379537 37879805
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 204 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 204
VALID 092240Z - 092340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW SLN
TO 30 ESE EMP TO 20 NW FLV.
..THORNTON..05/09/23
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 204
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-009-015-017-045-053-059-073-079-113-115-155-159-169-
173-207-092340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BARTON
BUTLER CHASE DOUGLAS
ELLSWORTH FRANKLIN GREENWOOD
HARVEY MCPHERSON MARION
RENO RICE SALINE
SEDGWICK WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 204
VALID 092135Z - 092240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW SLN
TO 30 WSW TOP TO 10 W STJ.
..THORNTON..05/09/23
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 204
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-009-015-017-031-045-053-059-073-079-087-111-113-115-
127-139-155-159-169-173-177-207-092240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BARTON
BUTLER CHASE COFFEY
DOUGLAS ELLSWORTH FRANKLIN
GREENWOOD HARVEY JEFFERSON
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MORRIS OSAGE RENO
RICE SALINE SEDGWICK
SHAWNEE WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 204
VALID 092135Z - 092240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW SLN
TO 30 WSW TOP TO 10 W STJ.
..THORNTON..05/09/23
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 204
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-009-015-017-031-045-053-059-073-079-087-111-113-115-
127-139-155-159-169-173-177-207-092240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BARTON
BUTLER CHASE COFFEY
DOUGLAS ELLSWORTH FRANKLIN
GREENWOOD HARVEY JEFFERSON
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MORRIS OSAGE RENO
RICE SALINE SEDGWICK
SHAWNEE WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 204
VALID 092050Z - 092140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW SLN
TO 5 WNW MHK TO 10 SE FNB.
..THORNTON..05/09/23
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 204
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-009-015-017-031-041-045-053-059-061-073-079-085-087-
111-113-115-127-139-149-155-159-169-173-177-197-207-092140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BARTON
BUTLER CHASE COFFEY
DICKINSON DOUGLAS ELLSWORTH
FRANKLIN GEARY GREENWOOD
HARVEY JACKSON JEFFERSON
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MORRIS OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE
RENO RICE SALINE
SEDGWICK SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 204
VALID 091935Z - 092040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 741
..THORNTON..05/09/23
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 204
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-009-015-017-027-029-031-041-045-053-059-061-073-079-
085-087-111-113-115-117-127-131-139-143-149-155-157-159-161-169-
173-177-197-201-207-092040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BARTON
BUTLER CHASE CLAY
CLOUD COFFEY DICKINSON
DOUGLAS ELLSWORTH FRANKLIN
GEARY GREENWOOD HARVEY
JACKSON JEFFERSON LYON
MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL
MORRIS NEMAHA OSAGE
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
SALINE SEDGWICK SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 204
VALID 091845Z - 091940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 741
..THORNTON..05/09/23
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 204
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-009-015-017-027-029-031-041-045-053-059-061-073-079-
085-087-111-113-115-117-127-131-139-143-149-155-157-159-161-169-
173-177-197-201-207-091940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BARTON
BUTLER CHASE CLAY
CLOUD COFFEY DICKINSON
DOUGLAS ELLSWORTH FRANKLIN
GEARY GREENWOOD HARVEY
JACKSON JEFFERSON LYON
MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL
MORRIS NEMAHA OSAGE
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
SALINE SEDGWICK SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON WOODSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 204
VALID 091745Z - 091840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..05/09/23
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...OAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 204
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-009-015-017-027-029-031-041-045-053-059-061-073-079-
085-087-111-113-115-117-127-131-139-143-149-155-157-159-161-169-
173-177-197-201-207-091840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BARTON
BUTLER CHASE CLAY
CLOUD COFFEY DICKINSON
DOUGLAS ELLSWORTH FRANKLIN
GEARY GREENWOOD HARVEY
JACKSON JEFFERSON LYON
MCPHERSON MARION MARSHALL
MORRIS NEMAHA OSAGE
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
SALINE SEDGWICK SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON WOODSON
$$
NEC095-169-091840-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON THAYER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.