Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 289
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
810 AM CDT Wed Jun 14 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Arkansas
Northern Mississippi
Southwest Tennessee
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 810 AM
until 200 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Multiple clusters are likely to persist and intensify
across the region through the morning into afternoon.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north of Fort
Smith AR to 10 miles east northeast of Columbus MS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 288...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 289 SEVERE TSTM AR MS TN 141310Z - 141900Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20N FSM/FORT SMITH AR/ - 10ENE CBM/COLUMBUS MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /15NNW FSM - 17NE IGB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
LAT...LON 36499437 34558829 32828829 34759437
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 289 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 289
VALID 141845Z - 141940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW GLH
TO 45 SSE UOX TO 20 ENE CBM.
..LYONS..06/14/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 289
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC007-015-019-025-051-083-087-097-103-105-133-155-159-141940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA CARROLL CHOCTAW
CLAY HOLMES LEFLORE
LOWNDES MONTGOMERY NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA SUNFLOWER WEBSTER
WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 289
VALID 141740Z - 141840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW PBF TO
40 NNW GWO TO 30 SW TUP TO 25 E TUP TO 35 WSW MSL.
..LYONS..06/14/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 289
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC007-011-015-019-025-043-051-083-087-097-103-105-133-155-159-
141840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA BOLIVAR CARROLL
CHOCTAW CLAY GRENADA
HOLMES LEFLORE LOWNDES
MONTGOMERY NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
SUNFLOWER WEBSTER WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 289
VALID 141630Z - 141740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W HOT TO
60 NE PBF TO 15 N MEM.
..SQUITIERI..06/14/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 289
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-041-053-059-069-079-107-141740-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS DESHA GRANT
HOT SPRING JEFFERSON LINCOLN
PHILLIPS
$$
MSC007-009-011-013-015-017-019-025-027-033-043-051-057-071-081-
083-087-093-095-097-103-105-107-115-119-133-135-137-139-143-145-
155-159-161-141740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAY COAHOMA
DESOTO GRENADA HOLMES
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEE
LEFLORE LOWNDES MARSHALL
MONROE MONTGOMERY NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PANOLA PONTOTOC
QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE
TATE TIPPAH TUNICA
UNION WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA
$$
TNC047-157-141740-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 289
VALID 141540Z - 141640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ENE RKR
TO 25 NNE RUE TO 10 SW FLP.
..SQUITIERI..06/14/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 289
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-023-029-035-037-041-045-051-053-059-069-077-079-083-085-
095-105-107-115-117-119-123-125-129-141-145-147-149-141640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLEBURNE CONWAY
CRITTENDEN CROSS DESHA
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HOT SPRING JEFFERSON LEE
LINCOLN LOGAN LONOKE
MONROE PERRY PHILLIPS
POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI
ST. FRANCIS SALINE SEARCY
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
YELL
$$
MSC007-009-011-013-015-017-019-025-027-033-043-051-057-071-081-
083-087-093-095-097-103-105-107-115-119-133-135-137-139-143-145-
155-159-161-141640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAY COAHOMA
DESOTO GRENADA HOLMES
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEE
LEFLORE LOWNDES MARSHALL
MONROE MONTGOMERY NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PANOLA PONTOTOC
QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE
TATE TIPPAH TUNICA
UNION WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA
$$
TNC047-157-141640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 289
VALID 141435Z - 141540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..06/14/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 289
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-023-029-033-035-037-041-045-047-051-053-059-069-071-077-
079-083-085-087-095-101-105-107-115-117-119-123-125-129-131-141-
143-145-147-149-141540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLEBURNE CONWAY
CRAWFORD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DESHA FAULKNER FRANKLIN
GARLAND GRANT HOT SPRING
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEE
LINCOLN LOGAN LONOKE
MADISON MONROE NEWTON
PERRY PHILLIPS POPE
PRAIRIE PULASKI ST. FRANCIS
SALINE SEARCY SEBASTIAN
VAN BUREN WASHINGTON WHITE
WOODRUFF YELL
$$
MSC007-009-011-013-015-017-019-025-027-033-043-051-057-071-081-
083-087-093-095-097-103-105-107-115-119-133-135-137-139-143-145-
155-159-161-141540-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAY COAHOMA
DESOTO GRENADA HOLMES
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEE
LEFLORE LOWNDES MARSHALL
MONROE MONTGOMERY NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PANOLA PONTOTOC
QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE
TATE TIPPAH TUNICA
UNION WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA
$$
TNC047-157-141540-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.