Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 202
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
650 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme eastern Kansas
Western and central Missouri
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 650 AM
until 200 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Initially elevated thunderstorms erupting near the KS/MO
line will pose a threat for large to very large hail through midday
as individual cells move northeastward to eastward. A portion of
this activity may organize into an eastward- to
southeastward-moving, upscale-growing cluster with increasing
damaging-wind potential.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles west southwest
of Olathe KS to Vichy MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Edwards
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 202
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
650 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme eastern Kansas
Western and central Missouri
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 650 AM
until 200 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Initially elevated thunderstorms erupting near the KS/MO
line will pose a threat for large to very large hail through midday
as individual cells move northeastward to eastward. A portion of
this activity may organize into an eastward- to
southeastward-moving, upscale-growing cluster with increasing
damaging-wind potential.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles west southwest
of Olathe KS to Vichy MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 202 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 081150Z - 081900Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15WSW OJC/OLATHE KS/ - VIH/VICHY MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /33SSW MCI - 47SSE COU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 39849499 39229177 37049177 37689499
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 202 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 202
VALID 081845Z - 081940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW JLN TO
60 SSE OJC TO 25 SSW SZL TO 25 WNW COU TO 45 NNE COU.
..BENTLEY..05/08/24
ATTN...WFO...EAX...SGF...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC013-015-019-027-051-053-083-125-131-135-141-151-159-081940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATES BENTON BOONE
CALLAWAY COLE COOPER
HENRY MARIES MILLER
MONITEAU MORGAN OSAGE
PETTIS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 202
VALID 081740Z - 081840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE CNU TO
40 SSE OJC TO 25 WNW SZL TO 25 ESE CDJ.
..BENTLEY..05/08/24
ATTN...WFO...EAX...SGF...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC013-015-019-027-033-051-053-083-089-101-107-125-131-135-141-
151-159-195-081840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATES BENTON BOONE
CALLAWAY CARROLL COLE
COOPER HENRY HOWARD
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE MARIES
MILLER MONITEAU MORGAN
OSAGE PETTIS SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 202
VALID 081705Z - 081840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE CNU TO
30 ESE OJC TO 20 SE CDJ.
..BENTLEY..05/08/24
ATTN...WFO...EAX...SGF...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC013-015-019-027-033-051-053-083-089-101-107-125-131-135-141-
151-159-195-081840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATES BENTON BOONE
CALLAWAY CARROLL COLE
COOPER HENRY HOWARD
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE MARIES
MILLER MONITEAU MORGAN
OSAGE PETTIS SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 202
VALID 081525Z - 081640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE CNU TO
20 SSE CDJ.
..GRAMS..05/08/24
ATTN...WFO...EAX...SGF...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC011-037-081640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CRAWFORD
$$
MOC011-013-015-019-027-029-033-039-051-053-057-059-065-077-083-
085-089-101-105-107-125-131-135-141-151-159-161-167-169-185-195-
215-217-225-229-081640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BATES BENTON
BOONE CALLAWAY CAMDEN
CARROLL CEDAR COLE
COOPER DADE DALLAS
DENT GREENE HENRY
HICKORY HOWARD JOHNSON
LACLEDE LAFAYETTE MARIES
MILLER MONITEAU MORGAN
OSAGE PETTIS PHELPS
POLK PULASKI ST. CLAIR
SALINE TEXAS VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 202
VALID 081425Z - 081540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW OJC
TO 20 S CDJ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 694.
..GRAMS..05/08/24
ATTN...WFO...EAX...SGF...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC011-037-107-081540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CRAWFORD LINN
$$
MOC011-013-015-019-027-029-033-037-039-051-053-057-059-065-077-
083-085-089-101-105-107-125-131-135-141-151-159-161-167-169-185-
195-215-217-225-229-081540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BATES BENTON
BOONE CALLAWAY CAMDEN
CARROLL CASS CEDAR
COLE COOPER DADE
DALLAS DENT GREENE
HENRY HICKORY HOWARD
JOHNSON LACLEDE LAFAYETTE
MARIES MILLER MONITEAU
MORGAN OSAGE PETTIS
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
ST. CLAIR SALINE TEXAS
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 202
VALID 081335Z - 081440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW OJC
TO 30 WSW CDJ.
..GRAMS..05/08/24
ATTN...WFO...EAX...SGF...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 202
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC011-037-091-107-121-209-081440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CRAWFORD JOHNSON
LINN MIAMI WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC011-013-015-019-025-027-029-033-037-039-047-051-053-057-059-
065-077-083-085-089-095-101-105-107-125-131-135-141-151-159-161-
167-169-177-185-195-215-217-225-229-081440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BATES BENTON
BOONE CALDWELL CALLAWAY
CAMDEN CARROLL CASS
CEDAR CLAY COLE
COOPER DADE DALLAS
DENT GREENE HENRY
HICKORY HOWARD JACKSON
JOHNSON LACLEDE LAFAYETTE
MARIES MILLER MONITEAU
MORGAN OSAGE PETTIS
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
RAY ST. CLAIR SALINE
TEXAS VERNON WEBSTER
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.