Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 203
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
525 PM CDT Wed May 11 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern and Central Minnesota
Western Wisconsin
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 525 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
SUMMARY...A very moist and unstable airmass is present along and to
the south of a warm front, extending east-to-west across southern
Minnesota. A line of thunderstorms is expected to pose a tornado,
wind damage and hail threat moving east-northeastward across
south-central Minnesota and into western Wisconsin this evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
either side of a line from 30 miles west northwest of Redwood Falls
MN to 50 miles east southeast of Eau Claire WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 202...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 26035.
...Broyles
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 203
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
525 PM CDT Wed May 11 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern and Central Minnesota
Western Wisconsin
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 525 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
SUMMARY...A very moist and unstable airmass is present along and to
the south of a warm front, extending east-to-west across southern
Minnesota. A line of thunderstorms is expected to pose a tornado,
wind damage and hail threat moving east-northeastward across
south-central Minnesota and into western Wisconsin this evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
either side of a line from 30 miles west northwest of Redwood Falls
MN to 50 miles east southeast of Eau Claire WI. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 202...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 26035.
...Broyles
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 203 TORNADO MN WI 112225Z - 120500Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
30WNW RWF/REDWOOD FALLS MN/ - 50ESE EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM EITHER SIDE /26NW RWF - 44ESE EAU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 45879560 45759049 43439059 43569569
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 203 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 203
VALID 120415Z - 120500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE FRM
TO 30 SSW EAU TO 55 SSW ASX.
WW 203 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 120500Z.
..HART..05/12/22
ATTN...WFO...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 203
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC039-045-047-099-109-169-120500-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DODGE FILLMORE FREEBORN
MOWER OLMSTED WINONA
$$
WIC011-017-019-035-053-107-119-121-120500-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUFFALO CHIPPEWA CLARK
EAU CLAIRE JACKSON RUSK
TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 203
VALID 120205Z - 120340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE FRM
TO 35 SSE MSP TO 20 E MSP TO 40 ENE STC.
..HART..05/12/22
ATTN...WFO...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 203
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC025-037-039-043-045-047-049-099-109-147-157-163-169-120340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHISAGO DAKOTA DODGE
FARIBAULT FILLMORE FREEBORN
GOODHUE MOWER OLMSTED
STEELE WABASHA WASHINGTON
WINONA
$$
WIC005-011-017-019-033-035-091-093-095-107-109-119-121-120340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK DUNN EAU CLAIRE
PEPIN PIERCE POLK
RUSK ST. CROIX TAYLOR
TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 203
VALID 120100Z - 120240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW FRM TO
25 N MKT TO 25 E AXN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 726
..HART..05/12/22
ATTN...WFO...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 203
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-009-013-019-025-037-039-043-045-047-049-053-059-079-091-
099-109-123-131-139-141-145-147-157-161-163-169-171-120240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BENTON BLUE EARTH
CARVER CHISAGO DAKOTA
DODGE FARIBAULT FILLMORE
FREEBORN GOODHUE HENNEPIN
ISANTI LE SUEUR MARTIN
MOWER OLMSTED RAMSEY
RICE SCOTT SHERBURNE
STEARNS STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WASHINGTON WINONA
WRIGHT
$$
WIC005-011-017-019-033-035-091-093-095-107-109-119-121-120240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK DUNN EAU CLAIRE
PEPIN PIERCE POLK
RUSK ST. CROIX TAYLOR
TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.