Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 224
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
545 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West Central Louisiana
Central and East Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 545 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Isolated supercell thunderstorms over central Texas will
track eastward and become more numerous through the evening,
spreading across the watch area. Very large hail and perhaps a
tornado are the main threats early, with an increasing risk of
damaging winds by late evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles either side of a line from 75 miles west of Austin TX
to 105 miles east northeast of Lufkin TX. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 219...WW 220...WW
221...WW 222...WW 223...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29030.
...Hart
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 224
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
545 PM CDT Thu May 9 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West Central Louisiana
Central and East Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 545 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Isolated supercell thunderstorms over central Texas will
track eastward and become more numerous through the evening,
spreading across the watch area. Very large hail and perhaps a
tornado are the main threats early, with an increasing risk of
damaging winds by late evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles either side of a line from 75 miles west of Austin TX
to 105 miles east northeast of Lufkin TX. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 219...WW 220...WW
221...WW 222...WW 223...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 224 SEVERE TSTM LA TX 092245Z - 100500Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
75W AUS/AUSTIN TX/ - 105ENE LFK/LUFKIN TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM EITHER SIDE /47NNW SAT - 45NW AEX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.
LAT...LON 30859915 32369329 31259291 29749877
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 224 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 224
VALID 100305Z - 100500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE AUS TO
40 ENE AUS TO 20 SE IER.
WW 224 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 100500Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 739
..SQUITIERI..05/10/24
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 224
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC021-043-059-069-127-100500-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL GRANT LA SALLE
NATCHITOCHES WINN
$$
TXC015-021-051-055-091-123-149-177-187-285-287-373-407-477-
100500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUSTIN BASTROP BURLESON
CALDWELL COMAL DEWITT
FAYETTE GONZALES GUADALUPE
LAVACA LEE POLK
SAN JACINTO WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 224
VALID 100205Z - 100340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE SAT TO
20 SSW TPL TO 30 WNW LFK TO 35 S SHV TO 40 E SHV.
..SQUITIERI..05/10/24
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 224
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC021-031-043-059-069-081-085-127-100340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL DE SOTO GRANT
LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES RED RIVER
SABINE WINN
$$
TXC005-015-021-041-051-055-091-123-149-177-185-187-209-225-285-
287-313-331-373-403-405-407-453-455-471-477-491-100340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA AUSTIN BASTROP
BRAZOS BURLESON CALDWELL
COMAL DEWITT FAYETTE
GONZALES GRIMES GUADALUPE
HAYS HOUSTON LAVACA
LEE MADISON MILAM
POLK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO TRAVIS TRINITY
WALKER WASHINGTON WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 224
VALID 100110Z - 100240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW SAT
TO 60 NW AUS TO 20 NW TPL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 738
..SQUITIERI..05/10/24
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 224
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC031-069-081-085-100240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
DE SOTO NATCHITOCHES RED RIVER
SABINE
$$
TXC005-015-021-027-031-041-051-053-055-073-091-149-161-177-185-
187-209-225-287-289-313-331-347-373-395-403-405-407-419-453-455-
471-477-491-100240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA AUSTIN BASTROP
BELL BLANCO BRAZOS
BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL
CHEROKEE COMAL FAYETTE
FREESTONE GONZALES GRIMES
GUADALUPE HAYS HOUSTON
LEE LEON MADISON
MILAM NACOGDOCHES POLK
ROBERTSON SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRAVIS
TRINITY WALKER WASHINGTON
WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 224
VALID 100015Z - 100140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..05/10/24
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 224
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC031-069-081-085-100140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
DE SOTO NATCHITOCHES RED RIVER
SABINE
$$
TXC001-005-021-027-031-041-051-053-055-073-145-161-171-185-209-
213-225-287-289-293-299-313-331-347-349-365-373-395-401-403-405-
407-419-453-455-471-491-100140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BASTROP
BELL BLANCO BRAZOS
BURLESON BURNET CALDWELL
CHEROKEE FALLS FREESTONE
GILLESPIE GRIMES HAYS
HENDERSON HOUSTON LEE
LEON LIMESTONE LLANO
MADISON MILAM NACOGDOCHES
NAVARRO PANOLA POLK
ROBERTSON RUSK SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO SHELBY
TRAVIS TRINITY WALKER
WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.