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Mesoscale Discussion 432
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0432
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1029 AM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN TX/SWRN LA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 241529Z - 241700Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SOME CONTINUED INCREASE IN STORMS CROSSING SERN TX ATTM
   APPEARS POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH SOME UPTICK IN MARGINAL HAIL/WIND
   RISK.  RISK SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED HOWEVER SUCH THAT WW IS NOT
   EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO.

   DISCUSSION...SOME HEATING/DESTABILIZATION IS EVIDENT ACROSS PARTS OF
   SERN TX ATTM...ALONG THE SRN FRINGE OF ONGOING CONVECTIVE CLUSTER. 
   THIS HAS CONTRIBUTED TO MODEST INCREASES IN STORM
   INTENSITY...PARTICULARLY WITH A CELL OVER WRN LIVINGSTON CO. ATTM. 
   AS WEAK DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES LATE THIS AM WITHIN A KINEMATIC
   ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION...A STORM OR TWO MAY
   REACH SEVERE LEVELS OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.  WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED
   ATTM...AS CLOUD COVER/LIMITED DESTABILIZATION POTENTIAL DOWNSTREAM
   SHOULD HINDER A MORE WIDESPREAD/SUBSTANTIAL RISK IN THE SHORT TERM.

   ..GOSS/GRAMS.. 04/24/2015


   ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...

   LAT...LON   29819468 29979517 30319530 30759471 30959316 30619259
               30199276 29819468 

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Page last modified: April 24, 2015
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