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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0439
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1151 PM CDT WED APR 10 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH-CENTRAL INDIANA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 93...
VALID 110451Z - 110615Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 93
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERE TSTM WATCH 93 CONTINUES UNTIL 07Z...WITH AN
ISOLATED/MARGINAL DAMAGING WIND THREAT CONTINUING ACROSS
NORTH-CENTRAL INDIANA EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT.
DISCUSSION...A SEMI-ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO STEADILY
PROGRESS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT AROUND 45-50 KT FROM EAST-CENTRAL IL
INTO WEST-CENTRAL INDIANA...PRIMARILY EXTENDING FROM NEAR I-70/TERRE
HAUTE NORTHWARD TO WEST OF LAFAYETTE AS OF 0430Z. A 50 KT WIND GUST
WAS MEASURED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE SQUALL LINE JUST PRIOR TO 04Z
IN RANTOUL IL. THE BRUNT OF THIS CONVECTIVE LINE IS FOCUSED ALONG
AND MORE SO NORTH OF A OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/STATIONARY FRONT. THE
LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE CONTINUES TO STEADILY
COOL THROUGH THE 50S F...WITHIN A CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN BOUNDARY
LAYER CINH. THIS SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO DECREASING CONVECTIVE
INTENSITY/ORGANIZATION WITH THE CONVECTIVE LINE OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH
ISOLATED STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE WIND GUSTS COULD STILL REACH THE
SURFACE GIVEN THE RELATIVE SHALLOWNESS OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY AND
FAST FORWARD MOTION OF THE CONVECTION WITHIN A HIGH SHEAR
ENVIRONMENT.
..GUYER.. 04/11/2013
ATTN...WFO...ILN...IWX...IND...LOT...
LAT...LON 40458735 40998707 41018491 39758502 39478676 40458735
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