Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 365
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
215 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 215 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF CHILDRESS TEXAS TO 45 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF DURANT OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 363...WW 364...
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS ARE ONGOING FROM CENTRAL
OK SWWD INTO NW TX...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED EWD ACROSS
N TX/SRN OK THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING. THE CONVECTION WILL BE
SUPPORTED BY A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT IS EJECTING NEWD OVER
THE TX PANHANDLE...AS WELL AS SURFACE HEATING OF A MOIST AND
STRONGLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT TO THE S OF THE THICKER CLOUD COVER.
MLCAPE NEAR 3000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 35-45 KT WILL
SUPPORT ORGANIZED CLUSTERS AND EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 365 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 101915Z - 110300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
80SW CDS/CHILDRESS TX/ - 45ESE DUA/DURANT OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /33E LBB - 69S MLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 34770126 34869568 32549568 32450126
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 365 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 365
VALID 110250Z - 110340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW SEP TO
30 NNW MWL TO 15 WSW PRX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1035
WFO FWD WILL BE LOCALLY EXTENDING PORTIONS OF WW 365 - SEE
WCN PRODUCT FOR DETAILS.
..GUYER..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 365
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-027-035-085-099-113-119-121-139-143-145-161-193-213-217-
221-223-231-251-257-281-293-309-333-349-363-367-379-397-425-439-
467-497-110340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BELL BOSQUE
COLLIN CORYELL DALLAS
DELTA DENTON ELLIS
ERATH FALLS FREESTONE
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMPASAS
LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MILLS
NAVARRO PALO PINTO PARKER
RAINS ROCKWALL SOMERVELL
TARRANT VAN ZANDT WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 365
VALID 110050Z - 110140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW SEP TO
30 SE SPS TO 45 NNE ADM.
..GUYER..06/11/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 365
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-029-069-085-095-110140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN COAL
JOHNSTON LOVE MARSHALL
$$
TXC001-035-059-085-093-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-161-181-
193-213-217-221-223-231-251-257-277-293-309-333-337-349-363-367-
379-397-425-439-467-497-110140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BOSQUE CALLAHAN
COLLIN COMANCHE COOKE
DALLAS DELTA DENTON
EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH
FANNIN FREESTONE GRAYSON
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR
LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MILLS
MONTAGUE NAVARRO PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL TARRANT VAN ZANDT
WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 365
VALID 102335Z - 110040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW SEP TO
25 SE CHK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1030
..GUYER..06/10/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 365
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-029-049-063-067-069-085-095-099-123-110040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
COAL GARVIN HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LOVE
MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC
$$
TXC059-077-085-097-113-119-121-133-139-143-147-181-221-223-231-
237-251-257-277-337-363-367-379-397-425-429-439-467-497-503-
110040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN CLAY COLLIN
COOKE DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FANNIN GRAYSON
HOOD HOPKINS HUNT
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR MONTAGUE PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
VAN ZANDT WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 365
VALID 102040Z - 102140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..06/10/09
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 365
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-027-029-049-063-067-069-085-087-095-099-123-125-
133-102140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CLEVELAND COAL GARVIN
HUGHES JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LOVE MCCLAIN MARSHALL
MURRAY PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE
$$
TXC009-023-033-059-075-077-085-097-101-107-113-119-121-125-133-
139-143-147-151-155-169-181-197-207-221-223-227-231-237-251-253-
257-263-269-275-277-317-335-337-345-353-363-367-379-397-415-417-
425-429-433-439-441-447-467-485-487-497-503-102140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
CALLAHAN CHILDRESS CLAY
COLLIN COOKE COTTLE
CROSBY DALLAS DELTA
DENTON DICKENS EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH FANNIN
FISHER FOARD GARZA
GRAYSON HARDEMAN HASKELL
HOOD HOPKINS HOWARD
HUNT JACK JOHNSON
JONES KAUFMAN KENT
KING KNOX LAMAR
MARTIN MITCHELL MONTAGUE
MOTLEY NOLAN PALO PINTO
PARKER RAINS ROCKWALL
SCURRY SHACKELFORD SOMERVELL
STEPHENS STONEWALL TARRANT
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON VAN ZANDT
WICHITA WILBARGER WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.